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Chiefs & Broncos Battle for the Wild West
person Will Strome, Columnist, NFLWeather.com | calendar_today 11/23/16 09:00 PM EST

Una batalla crucial por el liderazgo de la division oeste de la AFC junto a Oakland se vera este domingo cuando los Chiefs de Kansas City visiten sus odiados rivales, los Broncos de Denver. El pronóstico está anunciando temperaturas cercanas a la congelación en la ciudad de Mile High.

De acuerdo con NFLWeather.com , la temperatura comenzará en los 40 y luego bajara hasta el punto de congelación para la patada inicial del domingo por la noche. El viento no debera ser un gran problema, superando apenas las 6-8 mph. La chance de precipitaciones es actualmente de 0%, pero quién sabe lo que podría pasar el domingo, hemos visto algunas ráfagas algunos juegos ya, pero justo en esta época del año es cuando los partidos en Denver se caracterizan por sus malas condiciones climaticas.

Desde hace unas dos semanas, que hemos comenzado a ver juegos de la NFL en temperaturas árticas. El clima frío golpeó duro el cinturón de óxido la semana pasada, en donde Pittsburgh -Cleveland y Buffalo - Cincinnati se jugaron en tempreaturas por debajo del punto de congelación y las cuatro ofensivas se vieron claramente afectadas. La estadística más preocupante fue que en ambos juegos un total de tres puntos extra fueron errados. A pesar del aire delgado de la altura de Denver, los pateadores podrían tener problemas el domingo.

Pero tanto Denver (7-3) como Kansas City (7-3) están muy familiarizados con el frío. De acuerdo con la analitica histórica de NFLWeather.com, los Chiefs estan 4-2 desde 2013 cuando la temperatura baja por debajo de los 32 grados con Denver 5-2 en el mismo tramo . En 2014, ambos lados lucharon en condiciones menos que las ideales con los Broncos escapando KC con un triunfo por 29-16.

Devontae Devontae Booker. Photo courtesy of USA Today.

Este podría ser el primer partido de clima frío para Denver en esta temporada pero ciertamente no será el último. El novato QB Trevor Siemian ya ha jugado en un partido con mal tiempo esta temporada, pero el equipo se concentro en la corrida totalizando 32 acarreos ese juego. Saliendo de su fecha libre, la ofensiva bien descansada de los Broncos buscará hacer exactamente lo mismo contra una defensa de Kansas City permite más de 120 yardas terrestres por juego. Devontae Booker será el caballo de batalla y verá fácilmente mas de 20 acarreos, pero eso no significa que Denver va a evitar que Siemian intente algunos pases largos. La defensa de los Chiefs no es lo que solía ser así que si sobrevargan la caja, Emmanuel Sanders y Demeryius Thomas tendrán un día de campo a pesar de las frías temperaturas.

Kansas City podría no tener las ofensiva más intimidante o de alto octanaje en la liga, pero tiene uno de los QBs más consistentes en malas condiciones climaticas. El veterano Alex Smith es notorio por proteger el balon y tomar decisiones inteligentes, y en sus seis juegos con los Chiefs en temperaturas heladas sólo ha lanzado cinco intercepciones mientras que anoto ocho touchdowns. Smith tiene un porcentaje de pase de 64% en el Frío y 167 yardas en promedio por juego, no seran números hercúleos, pero son lo suficiente como para conseguir la victoria.

Los corredores de los Chiefs han sido lastimado esta temporada, pero Spencer Ware ha aprovechado su oportunidad y ha hecho todo menos enfriarse. Charcandrick West recibirá un puñado de toques si está sano, pero West no practico el miércoles lo cual no es buen augurio para sus chances de jugar el domingo. En sus últimos siete juegos, Ware ha promediado aproximadamente 16 acarreos y verá mucho más que eso el domingo por la noche. Al igual que West, Jeremy Maclin no practico y si no puede jugar, todos los ojos estarán puestos sobre Travis Kelce y Tyreek Hill para causar problemas en la secundaria de Denver.

Este es un juego muy importante para ambos equipos que trataran de mantener el ritmo de los Raiders que lideran de la división 8-2 . Una victoria simplemente significa que el título de la división está al alcance, mientras que una derrota compica a cualquiera de los dos equipos. El domingo por la noche tendremos una rivalidad amarga en el frío, ¿qué más se puede pedir?

A pivotal battle for the AFC West summit alongside Oakland is on the line when the Kansas City Chiefs visit their heated and hated rivals, the Denver Broncos in what the forecast is calling close to freezing temperatures in the Mile High City.

According to NFLWeather.com, temps will start in the lower 40’s and trickle down close to freezing for Sunday evening’s kickoff. Both the wind and wind chill shouldn’t be much of a problem, topping out around 6-8mph. Precipitation is currently 0% but who knows what could happen come Sunday, we’ve seen some flurries in a handful of games already but right around this time of year is when the Denver home games regularly feature weather issues.

About two weeks ago, we started to see NFL games dip into arctic-like conditions. The cold weather hit the rust belt hard last week, where Pittsburgh at Cleveland and Buffalo at Cincinnati endured below freezing temps and all four offenses struggled tremendously. The most concerning stat was that in both those games a total of three extra points were missed. Despite the thin air from the high altitude in Denver, the kicking game could really be an issue on Sunday.

But both Denver (7-3) and Kansas City (7-3) are plenty familiar with competing in the cold. According to the NFLWeather.com Historical Analytics, the Chiefs are 4-2 since 2013 when the temperature dips below 32-degrees with Denver 5-2 over the same span. In 2014, both sides battled in less than ideal winter conditions with the Broncos escaping KC with a 29-16 road win.

Devontae Devontae Booker. Photo courtesy of USA Today.

This might be Denver’s first cold weather impacted matchup this season and it certainly won’t be the last. Rookie QB Trevor Siemian has already played in a weather-related game this season but the team focused on the running game tallying 32 total carries. Coming off a bye, the well-rested Broncos offense will be looking to do the exact same against a KC D that allows over 120 rushing yards per game. Devontae Booker will be the workhorse and will easily see 20+ touches but that doesn’t mean Denver is going to avoid Siemian taking shots downfield. The Chief’s D just isn’t what it used to be so if they stack the box, Emmanuel Sanders and Demeryius Thomas will have an absolute field day despite the frigid temps.

Kansas City might not have the most intimidating or high octane offenses in the league, but KC does have one of the most consistent QB’s in crummy conditions. Veteran Alex Smith is notorious for protecting the pigskin and making smart decisions, and in his six career games with the Chiefs in freezing temperatures he’s only tossed five INT’s and fumbled once compared to his eight touchdowns. Smith has a completion percentage of 64% in the cold and 167 yards on average per game, not the most herculean numbers but enough to get the win.

The Chiefs backfield has taken a number of hits this season but Spencer Ware has seized his opportunity and has done everything but cool off. Charcandrick West will get a handful of touches if he’s healthy but West didn’t practice Wednesday so his status is looking grim. In his last seven games, Ware has averaged roughly 16 carries and will see substantially more than that on Sunday night. Like West, Jeremy Maclin didn’t practice and if the Chief’s most dynamic offensive threat can’t go, all eyes are on Travis Kelce and Tyreek Hill to cause problems in Denver’s secondary.

This is a must win game for both sides trying to keep pace with the 8-2 division-leading Raiders. A win simply means the division title is within grasp while a loss indicates plenty of work needs to be done to even be mentioned in the AFC West title discussion. Sunday night we have a bitter rivalry in the bitter cold to look forward to, what more could you ask for? Well, maybe a change of pace from the Thanksgiving leftovers for dinner.


NFLW Week 11 Picks
person Will Strome and Matt Aloisi | calendar_today 11/19/16 10:00 AM EST

Daily Fantasy

Matt’s Value Players:
QB Kirk Cousins $5,800
RB CJ Prosise $4,200
WR Tyreek Hill $4,500
TE Vance McDonald $2,700

Green Bay is so bad against the pass and Cousins is very good at home. If DeSean Jackson misses this game, feel free to pair him up with Pierre Garcon ($3900) to give you ultimate flexibility. A WR turned RB here is a great value. Easing Rawls back into the game is highly probable which gives more touches to CJ Prosise. More of a cash game option here, but either way there is value. Alex Smith hates down field throws which is a fact. That combined with Maclin being out gives Hill an advantage and the opportunity to possibly see more than the 13 targets he saw last week. Get Ty “freak” on your roster. McDonald has seen 18 total targets in the last 3 games. The 49ers will be playing from behind and I see many garbage time points here. A slight gamble but he will be low owned and a great pivot from Martellus Bennett.

 

Will’s Value Players:
QB Blake Bortles $5,400
RB Isaiah Crowell $3,900
WR Brandon LaFell $4,000
TE Jason Witten $3,300

Bortles has become the king of garbage time points in fantasy. His team might be atrocious but the young QB still consistently racks up respectable numbers. For the price, he’s a solid play. Pittsburgh allows on average over 100 yards rushing and this week will be no different. The injury bug is plaguing the Steelers and the Crow will benefit tremendously. The Browns won’t get their first win but Crowell is in for a career day. There was a time when it appeared rookie Tyler Boyd would emerge as the number two option behind AJ Green but the veteran LaFell has impressed all season. He’s dirty cheap and he’ll see close to 8-10 targets, making him a phenomenal buy for four G’s. Lastly, the reliable veteran Witten seems to have great chemistry with his rookie QB. Baltimore has a solid defensive unit so Dak will look to his security blanket early and often.

 

 

Pick of the Week

Matt’s Pick: SEA -6.5 vs PHI

Ok so I messed up last week. My bad! But do you think the Hawks are gonna let Philly do anything offensively? I do not. Lock. Of. The. Week.

 

Will’s Pick: GB +3 @ WAS

After surrendering 47 points on the road to Tennessee last week, there’s no way Green Bay can play any worse this time around. Washington at home this season has yet to hold its opposition to under 20 points and with the Pack getting +3 this week, it’s tough to see them lose by more than that in DC.

Daily Fantasy

Matt’s Value Players:
QB Kirk Cousins $5,800
RB CJ Prosise $4,200
WR Tyreek Hill $4,500
TE Vance McDonald $2,700

Green Bay is so bad against the pass and Cousins is very good at home. If DeSean Jackson misses this game, feel free to pair him up with Pierre Garcon ($3900) to give you ultimate flexibility. A WR turned RB here is a great value. Easing Rawls back into the game is highly probable which gives more touches to CJ Prosise. More of a cash game option here, but either way there is value. Alex Smith hates down field throws which is a fact. That combined with Maclin being out gives Hill an advantage and the opportunity to possibly see more than the 13 targets he saw last week. Get Ty “freak” on your roster. McDonald has seen 18 total targets in the last 3 games. The 49ers will be playing from behind and I see many garbage time points here. A slight gamble but he will be low owned and a great pivot from Martellus Bennett.

 

Will’s Value Players:
QB Blake Bortles $5,400
RB Isaiah Crowell $3,900
WR Brandon LaFell $4,000
TE Jason Witten $3,300

Bortles has become the king of garbage time points in fantasy. His team might be atrocious but the young QB still consistently racks up respectable numbers. For the price, he’s a solid play. Pittsburgh allows on average over 100 yards rushing and this week will be no different. The injury bug is plaguing the Steelers and the Crow will benefit tremendously. The Browns won’t get their first win but Crowell is in for a career day. There was a time when it appeared rookie Tyler Boyd would emerge as the number two option behind AJ Green but the veteran LaFell has impressed all season. He’s dirty cheap and he’ll see close to 8-10 targets, making him a phenomenal buy for four G’s. Lastly, the reliable veteran Witten seems to have great chemistry with his rookie QB. Baltimore has a solid defensive unit so Dak will look to his security blanket early and often.

 

 

Pick of the Week

Matt’s Pick: SEA -6.5 vs PHI

Ok so I messed up last week. My bad! But do you think the Hawks are gonna let Philly do anything offensively? I do not. Lock. Of. The. Week.

 

Will’s Pick: GB +3 @ WAS

After surrendering 47 points on the road to Tennessee last week, there’s no way Green Bay can play any worse this time around. Washington at home this season has yet to hold its opposition to under 20 points and with the Pack getting +3 this week, it’s tough to see them lose by more than that in DC.


Week 11 Start ‘em / Sit ‘em
person Will Strome and Matt Aloisi | calendar_today 11/19/16 09:00 AM EST

Quarterbacks

Start ‘em: Andy Dalton, Derek Carr

With the shuffling of the Bills secondary during their bye week combined with the fact that Eifert is healthy, I see Dalton having a nice day here and a good fill in QB if your starter has a bye.

Houston has a top-five defensive unit but the altitude in Mexico City could play a role in negatively affecting the defensive backs like it did in week seven. Having already lost once in Denver’s high altitude venue where a Trevor Siemian-lead offense put up 29 points, Carr could end up having a career day south of the border.

Sit ‘em: Carson Wentz, Jameis Winston

In his last four games, Wentz has managed to cough up six fumbles and toss four picks. The rookie’s stock has been fading fast and with rain in Sunday’s forecast against Seattle’s punishing defense, Wentz is in for a long and disappointing afternoon.

Winston is headed to Arrowhead where the Chiefs D is always tough. Think elsewhere here.

Running Backs

Start ‘em: Isaiah Crowell, Robert Kelly

With near freezing temperatures and 25mph winds, the passing game for both Pittsburgh and Cleveland will struggle mightily along the banks of Lake Erie this week. Now that defensive end Cameron Heyward out for the Steelers, Pittsburgh’s mediocre run defense might end up getting burned in the cold by a winless rival.

Kelly is a great bye week sub and will see the majority of the carries in a potential shootout.

Sit ‘em: Latavius Murray, Doug Martin

Houston has a pretty legit run defense and I can see Murray stalling out in the high altitude in Mexico. Not so sure he can keep his same output like he did against Denver.

Finally activated for a mouthwatering matchup against a KC D that allows over 120 rushing yards per game but Martin is by no means a lock to get 20+ touches. The coaching staff will be monitoring him closely and it’s not like Tampa’s rushing attack has been anything to be feared.

Wide Receivers

Start ‘em: Doug Baldwin, Robert Woods

The secondary for the Eagles has been quite poor, giving up way too many big plays. The Sea Chickens are passing a lot more these days and look for Baldwin to be the beneficiary.

If Woods can put up the numbers he did against Seattle’s secondary, he shouldn’t have any issues tormenting Cincinnati’s average-at-best DB’s. Weather looks to be a nonfactor this week and if the Bengals keep eight in the box to shadow McCoy or even Taylor, Woods will have a handful of chances for big play opportunities.

Sit ‘em: Jordan Matthews, DeVante Parker

His rookie QB is heading to Seattle where it is not a friendly place to play. I don’t see Matthews being successful at all here.

Even with Jarvis Landry dinged up and perfect passing conditions expected in Los Angeles on Sunday, Parker still can’t be trusted. With Pouncey out, Tannehill could be under pressure from LA’s stellar D-line all afternoon.

Tight Ends

Start ‘em: Zach Miller, CJ Fiedorowicz

Jay Cutler’s favorite target is suspended. Enter his 2nd favorite, Zach Miller. The Bears will be down this game and will be required to pass a lot. There is a legitimate chance he sees double digit targets Sunday.

Fiedorowicz has been a pleasant surprise in Houston’s passing game while superstar DeAndre Hopkins has been virtually nonexistent. Oakland’s defense can’t keep a team under 300 yards passing and Monday night in Mexico City will be no different.

Sit ‘em: Cameron Brate, Zach Ertz

KC’s defense is so good against the TE due to the greatness of Eric Berry. FIND SOMEONE ELSE.

Ertz draws Cam Chancellor this week. Who else is on the waiver wire?

Quarterbacks

Start ‘em: Andy Dalton, Derek Carr

With the shuffling of the Bills secondary during their bye week combined with the fact that Eifert is healthy, I see Dalton having a nice day here and a good fill in QB if your starter has a bye.

Houston has a top-five defensive unit but the altitude in Mexico City could play a role in negatively affecting the defensive backs like it did in week seven. Having already lost once in Denver’s high altitude venue where a Trevor Siemian-lead offense put up 29 points, Carr could end up having a career day south of the border.

Sit ‘em: Carson Wentz, Jameis Winston

In his last four games, Wentz has managed to cough up six fumbles and toss four picks. The rookie’s stock has been fading fast and with rain in Sunday’s forecast against Seattle’s punishing defense, Wentz is in for a long and disappointing afternoon.

Winston is headed to Arrowhead where the Chiefs D is always tough. Think elsewhere here.

Running Backs

Start ‘em: Isaiah Crowell, Robert Kelly

With near freezing temperatures and 25mph winds, the passing game for both Pittsburgh and Cleveland will struggle mightily along the banks of Lake Erie this week. Now that defensive end Cameron Heyward out for the Steelers, Pittsburgh’s mediocre run defense might end up getting burned in the cold by a winless rival.

Kelly is a great bye week sub and will see the majority of the carries in a potential shootout.

Sit ‘em: Latavius Murray, Doug Martin

Houston has a pretty legit run defense and I can see Murray stalling out in the high altitude in Mexico. Not so sure he can keep his same output like he did against Denver.

Finally activated for a mouthwatering matchup against a KC D that allows over 120 rushing yards per game but Martin is by no means a lock to get 20+ touches. The coaching staff will be monitoring him closely and it’s not like Tampa’s rushing attack has been anything to be feared.

Wide Receivers

Start ‘em: Doug Baldwin, Robert Woods

The secondary for the Eagles has been quite poor, giving up way too many big plays. The Sea Chickens are passing a lot more these days and look for Baldwin to be the beneficiary.

If Woods can put up the numbers he did against Seattle’s secondary, he shouldn’t have any issues tormenting Cincinnati’s average-at-best DB’s. Weather looks to be a nonfactor this week and if the Bengals keep eight in the box to shadow McCoy or even Taylor, Woods will have a handful of chances for big play opportunities.

Sit ‘em: Jordan Matthews, DeVante Parker

His rookie QB is heading to Seattle where it is not a friendly place to play. I don’t see Matthews being successful at all here.

Even with Jarvis Landry dinged up and perfect passing conditions expected in Los Angeles on Sunday, Parker still can’t be trusted. With Pouncey out, Tannehill could be under pressure from LA’s stellar D-line all afternoon.

Tight Ends

Start ‘em: Zach Miller, CJ Fiedorowicz

Jay Cutler’s favorite target is suspended. Enter his 2nd favorite, Zach Miller. The Bears will be down this game and will be required to pass a lot. There is a legitimate chance he sees double digit targets Sunday.

Fiedorowicz has been a pleasant surprise in Houston’s passing game while superstar DeAndre Hopkins has been virtually nonexistent. Oakland’s defense can’t keep a team under 300 yards passing and Monday night in Mexico City will be no different.

Sit ‘em: Cameron Brate, Zach Ertz

KC’s defense is so good against the TE due to the greatness of Eric Berry. FIND SOMEONE ELSE.

Ertz draws Cam Chancellor this week. Who else is on the waiver wire?


BATTLE OF THE BIRDS. WEEK 11
person Will Strome, Columnist, NFLWeather.com | calendar_today 11/19/16 08:00 AM EST

Cuatro años han pasado desde que los Philadelphia Eagles compitieron por última vez en un juego de lluvia, el domingo tendrán una batalla cuesta arriba contra un fuerte Seattle Seahawks que pareceria pasar la mitad del año jugando bajo un monzón interminable.

Segun NFLWeather.com , se espera que la lluvia azote a la Costa del Pacífico durante el fin de semana con vientos aremolinados de alrededor de 10-12 mph con temperaturas en los cincuenta. El CenturyLink no es ningun extraño a la lluvia, habiendo recibido 10 juegos de lluvia desde 2011, pero su superficie de juego FieldTurf ayuda bastante en condiciones climaticas de ese tipo. Por otro lado, no tardaremos en ver si Carson Wentz hizo un buen trabajo de preparación con pelota húmeda antes de este enfrentamiento.

Carson Carson Wentz. Photo courtesy of USA Today.

El mariscal de campo novato fue sobresaliente al comienzo de la temporada, pero ha disminuido en las últimas semanas, algo que la mayoría de los aficionados y expertos esperaban. La defensa de los Seahawks podría llegar a él un poco, pero los elementos no deberían afectarlo, habiendo jugado en la universidad de Dakota del Norte. Wentz todavía no ha jugado en un juego profesional impactado por el clima, por lo que todavía está por verse si el personal de entrenadores confía en el lo suficiente como para llamar 30 o más pases, pero hasta la Semana 11 ha promediado casi 35 intentos de pase por juego. Sin embargo, con un total de cuatro intercepciones y seis balones sueltos en las últimas cuatro semanas, una entrega de balon esta casi una garantizada en este juego, casi tanto como la inminente lluvia que esperamos para la patada inicial.

Para quitarle la presión al joven QB, el impredecible comité de corredores de Ryan Matthews, Darren Sproles y Wendell Smallwood sera protagonista e intentara comer el reloj de juego lo mas posible. Contra un frente defensivo que permite menos de 100 yardas corriendo de promedio, esta sera una tarea dificil. Sproles ha surgido como la solucion más versátil y es especialmente peligroso en el juego por aire. Con una llovizna próxima, las rutas cortas seran el foco de Philly y Sproles ha sido buscado en 26 ocasiones en sus últimos tres partidos.

Seattle (6-2-1) por otro lado, tiene un QB experimentado en Russell Wilson que históricamente ha prosperado en en partidos con mal clima . Armado con un cañón preciso y un juego de piernas rápido y decisivo, el ex Wisconsin Badger es un arma multifacetica. Tan impredecible como el clima de Seattle, el plan de juego de Carroll para utilizar el brazo de su QB es casi imposible de predecir.

De acuerdo con la Base de Datos Historica de NFLWeather.com, en cuatro de los últimos nueve de los ultimospartidos con mal clima de los Seahawks, Wilson intento 19 pases o menos. En los otros cinco, ha promediado más de 30 intentos de pase. El puede ser ser un tipo complicado para jugar en los juegos de daily fantasy, pero es una maquina de sacar victorias en el mal clima.

Tan impredecible como los planes de juego de Wilson en la lluvia, es predecir quien será el máximo receptor de Seattle. Doug Baldwin siempre ve un montón de acción mientras que Tyler Lockett todavía está luchando por recuperar un perfecto estado de salud. Jimmy Graham, ultimamente, se ha elevado a ser el receptor más confiado de Wilson. El RB titular al comienzo de la temporada, Thomas Rawls, ha vuelto pero ahora competirá con C.J. Prosise. Con lluvia en el pronóstico y la incertidumbre en el backfield, Graham es quizas el unico jugador de Seattle para poner sin dudas en tu alineacion de fantasy.

Philadelphiase ha desvanecido rápidamente, pero un gran triunfo en la costa oeste podría dar la vuelta a este descenso espiral. Lo vimos antes cuando un triste equipo de los Rams irrumpió en Seattle el año pasado y sorprendió a los Hawks en la lluvia. Si Case Keenum puedo hacerlo... ¿por qué no puede Wentz?

Four years have passed since the Philadelphia Eagles last competed in a rain game and come Sunday, they’ll have an uphill battle against a stout Seattle Seahawks side that spends half the year in a seemingly endless monsoon.

According to NFLWeather.com, rain is expected to hit the Pacific Northwest all weekend with swirling winds topping out around 10-12 mph and temperatures in the mid-50s. CenturyLink Field is no stranger to rain, having hosted 10 rain games since 2011, but with a FieldTurf playing surface it’s unlikely the field would get slick. The ball on the other hand, well, we’ll find out early if Carson Wentz did any damp-football prep work before this massive NFC showdown.

Carson Carson Wentz. Photo courtesy of USA Today.

The rookie quarterback was outstanding early on but has tapered off the last few weeks which most fans and experts alike expected. The Seahawks defense might get to him a little but the elements shouldn’t, having played his college ball at frigid North Dakota State University. Wentz has yet to play in a weather impacted professional game so it’s yet to be seen if the coaching staff trusts him to drop back 30+ times but through week 11 he’s averaged almost 35 passing attempts per game. However, with a total of four interceptions and six fumbles over the last four weeks, a turnover is almost as much a guarantee in this game as the impending rain itself.

To take the pressure off the young franchise QB, the unpredictable running back committee of Ryan Matthews, Darren Sproles and Wendell Smallwood will be relied upon heavily to eat up clock against a front seven that surrenders less than 100 yards rushing on a weekly basis. Sproles has emerged as the more versatile back and is especially dangerous in the passing game. With a drizzle looming, short passing routes will be Philly’s focus and Sproles has been targeted 26 times in his last three games.

Seattle (6-2-1) on the other hand, has an experienced QB in Russell Wilson who historically has thrived in weather-related games. Armed with an accurate cannon and quick, decisive footwork, the former Wisconsin Badger is a multi-tool weapon at Pete Carroll’s disposal. As unpredictable as the weather in Seattle, Carroll’s game plan for utilizing his QB’s arm is next to impossible to plan for.

According to the NFLWeather.com Historical Analytics Database, in four of the Seahawks’ last nine poor weather outings, Wilson has dropped back 19 times or less. In the other five, he’s averaged over 30 passing attempts. He might be a tough guy to bank on in daily fantasy, but he’s a lock for pulling out a win in crummy climates.

As equally as unpredictable as Wilson’s rain game performances is who will be the top wide-out in Seattle’s passing attack? Doug Baldwin consistently sees plenty of action while Tyler Lockett is still battling back to full health, but Jimmy Graham has risen up as Wilson’s most trusted target. Primary RB entering the season, Thomas Rawls, has returned but will compete with C.J. Prosise has the lead back for week 11. With rain in the forecast and uncertainty in the backfield, Graham is the lone must-start this week.

Philadelphia’s (5-4) been fading fast but a big win on the west coast could turn around this downward spiral. We saw it before when a dismal Rams team stormed into Seattle last year and shocked the ‘Hawks in the rain. If Case Keenum can pull it off, why can’t Wentz?


NFLW Week 10 Picks
person Will Strome and Matt Aloisi | calendar_today 11/12/16 12:30 PM EST

 

Daily Fantasy

 

Matt’s Value Players:
QB Kirk Cousins $5,400
RB LaGarrette Blount $4,900
WR JJ Nelson $4,200
TE Martellus Bennett $3,400

Cousins has been very good at home and tripling his point per dollar basis in every start. Jordan Reed coming back also helps out his numbers. In a smash mouth game, this is where Blount excels. Seattle has a banged up defense and he’ll receive all the goal line carries. Bumped up to #2 on the depth chart and playing the porous 49’ers team, I see Nelson returning his value here and more. With Gronk possibly being guarded by the returning Cam Chancellor, I see Bennett as a good option that will not be highly owned. Take a chance!

 

Will’s Value Players:
QB Blake Bortles $5,500
RB Robert Kelly $3,600
WR Cordarelle Patterson $3,400
TE Vance McDonald $2,700

If you have Blake Bortles as your starting fantasy QB, you’ve experienced some unexpected highs and lows. He might not be the best QB to lean on but it’s astonishing how many points he racks up in garbage time. For dirt cheap and with the likelihood of 40+ passing attempts, he’s a solid cheap play this week. Time and time again Matt Jones has missed out on the opportunity to impress as the lead back in Washington. Coach Gruden handed the job over to Kelly so let’s see what he can do this week as the top dog. Stephon Diggs went off last week so all eyes will be on him, leaving the speedy and versatile Patterson looking at single coverage all day. Lastly, McDonald had a tremendous week last week and even though he might not be able to replicate that performance, he may have just earned some respect and trust from Kaep. He’ll see plenty of targets again this week.

 

 

 

Pick of the Week

 

Matt’s Pick: ATL +2 @ PHI

Atlanta has a great offense that is firing on all cylinders. They will outscore Philly here and that’s all that matters. Good golly miss molly I am hooking you up here!.

 

Will’s Pick: TB +1.5 vs CHI

I’m not saying Chicago’s victory last week was a fluke, but there’s no way they can replicate that defensive performance against an offense with tremendous aerial weapons. We could see a career day here for Winston and if that’s the case, Chicago is hopeless on Sunday.

 

Daily Fantasy

 

Matt’s Value Players:
QB Kirk Cousins $5,400
RB LaGarrette Blount $4,900
WR JJ Nelson $4,200
TE Martellus Bennett $3,400

Cousins has been very good at home and tripling his point per dollar basis in every start. Jordan Reed coming back also helps out his numbers. In a smash mouth game, this is where Blount excels. Seattle has a banged up defense and he’ll receive all the goal line carries. Bumped up to #2 on the depth chart and playing the porous 49’ers team, I see Nelson returning his value here and more. With Gronk possibly being guarded by the returning Cam Chancellor, I see Bennett as a good option that will not be highly owned. Take a chance!

 

Will’s Value Players:
QB Blake Bortles $5,500
RB Robert Kelly $3,600
WR Cordarelle Patterson $3,400
TE Vance McDonald $2,700

If you have Blake Bortles as your starting fantasy QB, you’ve experienced some unexpected highs and lows. He might not be the best QB to lean on but it’s astonishing how many points he racks up in garbage time. For dirt cheap and with the likelihood of 40+ passing attempts, he’s a solid cheap play this week. Time and time again Matt Jones has missed out on the opportunity to impress as the lead back in Washington. Coach Gruden handed the job over to Kelly so let’s see what he can do this week as the top dog. Stephon Diggs went off last week so all eyes will be on him, leaving the speedy and versatile Patterson looking at single coverage all day. Lastly, McDonald had a tremendous week last week and even though he might not be able to replicate that performance, he may have just earned some respect and trust from Kaep. He’ll see plenty of targets again this week.

 

 

 

Pick of the Week

 

Matt’s Pick: ATL +2 @ PHI

Atlanta has a great offense that is firing on all cylinders. They will outscore Philly here and that’s all that matters. Good golly miss molly I am hooking you up here!.

 

Will’s Pick: TB +1.5 vs CHI

I’m not saying Chicago’s victory last week was a fluke, but there’s no way they can replicate that defensive performance against an offense with tremendous aerial weapons. We could see a career day here for Winston and if that’s the case, Chicago is hopeless on Sunday.


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