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Redskins y Giants en dia de accion de gracias

por Will Strome, NFLWeather.com | 11-23-2017 08:00

 

The Turkey Bowl is as synonymous with Thanksgiving as the pumpkin is with Halloween. Whether it’s a game of touch or tackle football in the yard or park, the only proper way to do the holiday is to start it with football and it end with football.

With three NFL games spread beautifully across the holiday afternoon, there’s no shortage of action to catch when sneaking away from the family. Of the three NFL Thanksgiving Day games, the only outdoor game is at FedEx Field where the Washington Redskins (4-6) host the New York Giants (2-8) in what will certainly be a sizzling battle between bitter division rivals in extremely frigid conditions.

Redskins Washington Redskins. Photo courtesy of USA Today.

According to NFLWeather.com, temperatures for the 8:30pm kickoff will begin in the mid-30s but could potentially dip into the 20s. Even if the thermometer might not show 20 degrees, the players and fans will definitely feel the below freezing temps since the wind chill will be unavoidable. Rain isn’t likely but weekly forecast have seen a fluctuation from a 10-30% chance of precipitation so it won’t be a huge surprise if flurries or freezing rain make an appearance on the grass surface.

If the partly cloudy skies indeed send rain, both the Redskins and Giants have already played in at least one rain game this season. Washington lost at home to Dallas, 33-19, but downed the Seahawks in Seattle, 17-14. The New York Football Giants beat Tampa Bay with Eli Manning having one of his best games of the season by completing 30-of-49 passes for 288 yards and two touchdowns. The passing attack has been the strength of the NY offense but it’ll take more than a solid Manning performance to beat the ‘Skins in an icy D.C.

The Giants’ offensive issues start with an extremely shaky and constantly changing o-line that hasn’t been able to help any of the countless players who have lined up in the New York backfield this season. Orleans Darkwa, if healthy, will likely be the lead back on Thursday with Wayne Gallman, Shane Vereen, Paul Perkins and Shane Smith as the other potential victims for the Washington defense to gobble up. Wide-out Sterling Shepard and rookie tight end Evan Engram are Giants fans’ last lone hope for possible players to find the end zone but as conditions worsen on Thanksgiving, the team might be forced to resort to the ground game.

Washington’s offense has been up and down all season and absolutely plagued by injuries. USA Today’s Steve Gardner wrote about the crushing injury to the ‘Skins backfield with Chris Thompson suffering a season-ending injury. But as Gardner mentioned, “the silver lining is that fellow rookie RB Samaje Perine had by far his best game, rushing for 117 yards and a TD on 23 touches.” Gardner also noted in his most recent article that Byron Marshall might be a worthy pickup as Perine’s backup who will see “plenty of third down action” and if rain is a factor, QB Kirk Cousins might favor checking down to his backs.

Gardner offered another piece of advice regarding Redskins players by keeping an eye out for wideout Josh Doctson on the waiver wire. Now that Terrelle Pryor is out with an injury, Doctson is the clear number two option behind Jamison Crowder who’s been targeted an average of almost 11 times per game over the last three weeks. There’s a chance TE Jordan Reed may miss another week, allowing veteran Vernon Davis to step up as Cousins’ go to in the redzone.

According to the NFLWeather.com Historical Analytics, Washington is 2-3 in freezing temps since 2009 while the Giants are 2-5. Neither has necessarily found a ton of success in recent seasons but maybe this matchup in freezing conditions will spark a hot streak for either struggling side.


 

Pittsburgh gets pretty cold come mid-November and that’s not even factoring in the potential rain bound for the Burgh on Thursday night when the Steelers host the AFC South leading Tennessee Titans.

According to NFLWeather.com, it will be overcast and rain is probable with the temperatures dipping below freezing overnight. There’s a good chance freezing rain could be in the mix for the 8:25pm Thursday night kickoff. Wind should only top out around 8mph but the unpredictable open end zone at Heinz Field could cause some issues in the kicking game. Snow hasn’t been mentioned just yet but with flurries in Cleveland’s Sunday forecast, who knows just how bad the weather can get on Thursday night.

Marcus Mariota Marcus Mariota. Photo courtesy of USA Today.

Pittsburgh (7-2) historically has been a tough team to beat when rain or freezing temps are a factor, let alone both. Since 2010, the Black and Gold are 10-3 in rain games including victories in eight of their last nine. More impressively, according to the NFLWeather.com Historical Analytics, Pittsburgh has won seven straight games when the temp is below freezing and the team is 14-4 since 2009.

Much of the Steelers’ success can be attributed to veteran quarterback Ben Roethlisberger who with his large frame and ability to shrug off defenders makes him a top QB for competing in crummy conditions. Since 2012, Big Ben is 12-3 in weather impacted games and over that 15 game span, he’s only turned the ball over seven times. Roethlisberger has had his troubles this season but against a secondary that surrenders over 230 passing yards per game, this could be the matchup to get Big Ben back on track. With Le’Veon Bell in the backfield and Antonio Brown running routes with rookie sensation JuJu Smith-Schuster, Roethlisberger has no excuses for an inability to move the football.

Tennessee (6-3) has quietly been sitting atop the AFC South and now that the team is finally starting to see its stars at full health, this could be a dangerous team to see in January. The recent bye week looks to have done tight end Delanie Walker some good as well as lead back DeMarco Murray whose name seems to pop up on the injury report on a weekly basis. But as the weeks go by, Murray appears to be sharing more of his carries with Derrick Henry who now has double digit carries in three of his last four games. With rain in the forecast, expect both backs to see plenty of touches.

Quarterback Marcus Mariota might not have the rain game NFL experience as Big Ben has but the former Heisman winner played his college ball at Oregon so the young gunslinger knows a thing or two about prepping for rain. One thing that Mariota does have in common with Roethlisberger is his mobility in the pocket and in a rain game like Thursday’s, don’t be surprised to see a few Cam Newton-like designed QB runs.

But without help from his receivers, Mariota could be in for a long, frigid night. USA Today’s Steve Gardner was high on Corey Davis last week and for all the right reasons, Gardner was spot on with Davis seeing double digit targets. Rishard Matthews is the other receiving threat (Eric Decker has been non-existent) but Walker at TE is Mariota’s primary go-to.

Heinz Field is notorious for having one of the more battered and bruised playing surfaces in the league and with weather a factor on Thursday, this game, ultimately, could come down to which kicking game messes up the least.


La lluvia espera a Brees y sus Saints en Buffalo

por Will Strome, NFLWeather.com | 11-09-2017 08:00

 
Tyrod Taylor Tyrod Taylor. Photo courtesy of USA Today.

El otoño se está desvaneciendo rápidamente y ahora que el follaje ha venido y se ha ido, la nieve lentamente se hara presente en las previsiones y hasta quizas este domingo por la tarde cuando los Bills reciban a los Santos bajo la lluvia, a medida que las temperaturas caen, la probabilidad de aguanieve o incluso nieve es una realidad.

De acuerdo con NFLWeather.com , Buffalo estará cubierto por cielos nublados el domingo, con lluvia prevista para la patada de salida de las 13:00. Lástima que el juego no es el partido de horario estelar ya que el potencial de nevadas es alto. Las temperaturas deberían estar entre los 30 con un viento mínimo de alrededor de 8-10 mph.

Este será el tercer juego de lluvia de la temporada para los Bills ' (5-3), habiendo perdido 20 - 16 en Cincinnati en el primero. Luego el equipo se recuperó al manejar a los Raiders y la lluvia en casa muy bien para una victoria de 34-14. De acuerdo con NFLWeather.com Historical Analytics, los los Bills tienen una marca de 4-8 bajo la lluvia desde 2010 .

Buffalo tiene una ofensiva creada para el mal tiempo. Están anclados por un mariscal de campo móvil y versátil en Tyrod Taylor, quien a pesar de tener solo un récord de 1-3 en juegos de lluvia es un jugador de fantasy subestimado cuando el clima es un problema dado que Taylor tiene 35 o más intentos de pase en tres de sus cuatro juegos de lluvia en su carrera. El corredor LeSean McCoy verá muchos acarreos, pero también no hay que olvidar atrapó seis recepciones en cada uno de sus dos últimos juegos de lluvia.

El ataque equilibrado de Buffalo ha sido sólido durante toda la temporada y con Kelvin Benjamin uniéndoseles, los Bills son una fuerza legítima en la AFC. Steve Gardner de USA Today piensa que Deonte Thompson podría ser el jugador de fantasy inesperado de la semana, especialmente en la fantasy cotidiana, donde el receptor de Buffalo cuesta solo $ 3,600 en Draft Kings. "La adición de Kelvin Benjamin reducirá los pases a Thompson, pero sus siete recepciones para 81 yardas y un touchdown el jueves pasado pueden ayudar a mantener a Thompson en el campo ", escribió Gardner.

Nueva Orleans (6-2) no compite en muchos enfrentamientos con precipitaciones, pero algunas semanas atras los santos bailaron en Lambeau Field y se escapó de Green Bay con una victoria de 26-17. El veterano mariscal de campo Drew Brees, quien normalmente usa guantes cuando el clima es un factor, abandonó los guantes contra el Pack, lo que resultó en una gran victoria. Bueno, tal vez no eran los guantes el problema, pero lo que estaba causando problemas para lo Saints en la lluvia ya no parece ser un factor.

La ofensiva de los Santos en los últimos años ha sido básicamente el show de Drew Brees, pero en la victoria contra GB donde el clima era un problema, fueron los RB en el backfield detrás de él los que reinaron. Mark Ingram fue el líder y acumuló 105 yardas en 22 acarreos y un touchdown seguido por Alvin Kamara con nueve toques para 57 yardas. Ambos también ayudaron al juego de pase con un nueve recepciones pero fueron Ted Ginn Jr. y Michael Thomas quienes se robaron el show con 14 recepciones combinadas para más de 220 yardas.

El A-Turf Titan del New Era Field ya ha sido sede de un juego de lluvia esta temporada, pero aquí está la esperanza de que veamos algunas ráfagas pegarse a la superficie artificial en Orchard Park. Hemos visto viento, lluvia y relámpagos en los juegos de la NFL esta temporada; Quizás esta semana tengamos la primera imagen invernal de un campo cubierto de nieve.


Top 50 Sports Blogs

por The NFLWeather Team | 11-08-2017 12:00

 


NFLWeather.com, a USA Today Sports partner, has been ranked in ScoreBig’s Top 50 Sports Blogs in America! For details see https://www.scorebig.com/home/top-50-sports-blogs


Los Rams y la luvvia van a la gran manzana

por Will Strome, NFLWeather.com | 11-03-2017 13:30

 

The New York Football Giants season, thus far, has been about as stagnant as a mud puddle, and as the G-men brace for rain and the Rams high-scoring offense on Sunday, is anything expected to change for the better? Well, for the sake of some decent football, let’s hope so!

Todd Gurley Todd Gurley. Photo courtesy of USA Today.

According to NFLWeather.com, light rain is expected in East Rutherford on Sunday and likely will linger all afternoon. MetLife Stadium’s Field turf has hosted plenty of rainy matchups and the effects of the drizzle will only slick the artificial surface and pigskin a bit. The wind shouldn’t be much of an issue, hanging around 8-10 mph, and cool temperatures will be in the mid-60s. But if this weekend’s weather is anything like last weekend’s unpredictable forecast, a drizzle could turn to a downpour in an instant.

Los Angeles (5-2) doesn’t get the chance to play in many weather-impacted games but the team has found success in the rain as of late. Since 2009, the Rams are 4-1 in rain games with the lone loss being an absolute dismantling by the Patriots in London, 45-7. Aside from that, the elements don’t seem to slow the offense down, averaging over 25 points per rain game.

Offensively, the team that had the top pick just a few years ago now features one of the more potent and well-rounded rushing and passing units. The lead dog in the backfield has been Todd Gurley who’s racked up 22 or more touches in four of his last five games. He’s a bruising back between the tackles and the heavier the rain gets, the more carries we’ll see go to Gurley.

But it’s not just the running game that’s helped the Rams find a share of the summit of the NFC West with Seattle. Sophomore sensation Jared Goff genuinely looks like a polished professional and even though the kid doesn’t have a rain game start under his belt, he played in plenty of precipitation during his college days in the Bay Area at Cal. The real question isn’t whether the weather will get to Goff, it’s more so which of his receiving threats will emerge as his top target Sunday. Former first rounder Sammy Watkins is the lone big name but Robert Woods and Cooper Kupp have also contributed to the passing attack.

While LA has a couple receiving threats, the Giants (1-6) have been hit hardest by the injury bug at the wide out position. USA Today’s Steve Gardner has mentioned Sterling Shepard in a couple of his previous preview pieces and while Shepard has had a handful of great games, the poor kid is a tough spot by being expected to fill the void left by Odell Beckham Jr and veteran Brandon Marshall. An unfair expectation, but after his seven receptions for 133 yard performance, Shepard has the potential to put up elite WR numbers especially with a veteran Super Winning quarterback like Eli Manning.

The only thing for Giants fans to witness that’s more unbearable to watch than the passing attack has been the ground game. Whether it’s been Paul Perkins, Shane Vereen, Orleans Darkwa or Wayne Gallman; to call them subpar would be a heavy understatement. The safe play in fantasy regarding the NY backfield is to simply steer clear, even if weather conditions may force the team to hand off a heavy amount.

According to NFLWeather.com Historical Analytics, the Giants are 7-4 in the rain since 2009 with one loss coming in Tampa Bay earlier this season, 25-23. Manning finished the afternoon 30-for-49 for 288 yards and a pair of scores. Clearly the rain didn’t dictate the offensive play calling and barring a massive storm, little should change for this week nine matchup.

The reason for New York’s struggles can’t be pin-pointed to a specific position or even one side of the ball. As a whole, they’ve been brutal, and unless Eli can give us a Peyton-esc performance, the Rams will be a shocking 6-2.


Renovada rivalidad en la lluvia. Cowboys vs Redskins

por Will Strome, NFLWeather.com | 10-28-2017 10:00

 
Norman - Bryant Brett Hundley. Photo courtesy of USA Today.

Fall is officially in full-swing and while snow flurries are actually expected in some corners of the country, rain is once again east coast bound with the Redskins and Cowboys anticipating the worst of it at FedEx Field Sunday night.

According to NFLWeather.com, the Chesapeake forecast calls for heavy rains all day Sunday with swirling winds raging deep into the night. As the evening goes on, the precipitation will decrease but so will the temperatures. The temp at game time will be in the high-40s but it will feel more like mid-to-low 40s once the sun sets since it’s a 4:25p kickoff.

It’s been over five years since Dallas last won a rain game and Washington has snagged only one win in its last four previous rainy outings. Those subpar numbers are pretty astonishing given the NFC East features some nasty weather during the last two or three months of the regular season.

Washington (3-3) last won a rain game in 2015 when Kirk Cousins stormed into Chicago and stunned the Bears, 24-21. But even factoring in the win over the Bears, the ’Skins offense is stuck in the mud when weather is a factor, given the team averages less than 14 points per rain game. According to NFLWeather.com Historical Analytics, Washington is 3-5 in the rain since 2009 with an 0-2 record at home.

Cousins will need to carry the Washington offense thru the mud given the team doesn’t have the effective running game that Dallas does. In his lone rain game start, Cousins completed 10 of his first 11 passes against Chicago and while battling the damp conditions, he ended the afternoon 24-of-31 with over 300 yards and two touchdowns. Running backs Chris Thompson and Robert Kelley will split the workload with Thompsons likely to snag a few receptions but don’t expect big numbers from either rusher.

The Cowboys (3-3) lean heavily on their second year back Ezekiel Elliot and with this Sunday’s game featuring heavy wind and torrential rain, why change anything for Week Eight? USA Today’s Steve Gardner gave Elliot his Broad Shoulders Award following last week’s stellar performance. Elliott “single handedly carried his fantasy owners to victory,” Gardner wrote this week, noting the bruising back racked up 219 total yards and three touchdowns which amass to 36.5 fantasy points in a standard scoring league.

The top fantasy play from this matchup could end up being Cowboys quarterback Dak Prescott. An elusive runner in college, even tho Prescott has matched his interception total from a year ago, his mobility in Sunday’s mud bowl could be the x-factor Dallas needs for a crucial road win within the division. Even if Prescott turns the ball over once or twice, as long as he doesn’t let that get to him then the young gunslinger shouldn’t have a problem putting up solid numbers against the ‘Skins D.

Since Josh Norman will be blanketing Dez Bryant, the likelihood for punches to be thrown is equally as high as hail in the forecast! Well, hail might not be happening, nor should punches be thrown, but bank on a mud bowl Sunday night. In fact, the only thing that may be dirtier than the players’ jerseys by the end of the game could be the trash talk between Bryant and Norman.


Multiples juegos con lluvia en la NFC Norte

por Will Strome, NFLWeather.com | 10-19-2017 16:00

 

There’s a reason why half of the NFC North plays home games indoors and this Sunday both venues lacking a roof will also be lacking a dry pigskin for most of the day. According to NFLWeather.com, overcast skies are expected all weekend in Chicago with rain on Sunday morning. Luckily the Windy City won’t be too windy, maxing out around 10mph with temperatures lingering in the low-60s. The grey skies will stretch all the way to Green Bay where an overcast forecast will likely feature some scattered showers over the course of the weekend. Like Chicago, high winds and lower than usual temperatures won’t be a factor, just an incredibly slick grass surface.

Brett Hundley Brett Hundley. Photo courtesy of USA Today.

Even though the Bears (2-4) haven’t exactly been an intimidating opposition the last few seasons, the team does have the ability to grind out gritty victories in the rain. According to NFLWeather.com analytics, Chicago is 4-1 in the rain since 2013 and 3-0 at Soldier Field. What’s most impressive about that record is the team did it with three different quarterbacks. If Matt Barkley can get it done, there’s no reason why rookie gunslinger Mitchell Trubisky can’t have similar success.

Traveling to Chicago are the NFC South Division-leading Carolina Panthers (4-2) who, since 2010, are 4-4 in rain games. Luckily for Carolina, the team has an ideal multi-tool QB who can handle the elements and scramble if need be. In six career rain games, Cam Newton averaged nine carries per outing and only once did he have less than 33 passing attempts. Newton’s ability to run in the rain and still manage to rack up over 30 passing attempts makes him an extremely potent fantasy option for week seven.

A little over 200 miles north from muddy Soldier Field is Lambeau where the Packers (4-2) will play host to showers and the Saints. Weather is typically a factor in Green Bay (having experienced a lightning delay already this season) but seeing someone under center other than Aaron Rodgers is a bona fide rarity. Former UCLA QB Brett Hundley will get the start but just because he’s from sunny SoCal doesn’t mean he can’t handle the rain. Back in his college days, Hundley starred against hated rivals USC in a downpour and pulled out a 38-28 victory.

USA Today’s Steve Gardner believes that Hundley is definitely worth considering, given he has “plenty of weapons at his disposal and the 26th ranked New Orleans Saints defense up next,” Gardner wrote in his most recent article. Hundley won’t be able to make the precise passes Rodgers can but at least the Packers offense is so pass-heavy, and given the injuries in the backfield, that Hundley will need to be expected to make a few plays. The training wheels will be off on Sunday.

His starting debut will come against a New Orleans Saints (3-2) side that has only played in two rain games since 2013. Despite losing both games (and having to wear gloves), Drew Brees still managed to average decent fantasy numbers (27-for-44, 295 ypg, TD per game). If the weather worsens though, the team may have to lean more heavily on bruising running back Mark Ingram to carry the load.

Both Chicago and Green Bay are tough enough cities to snag a road win in, let alone with crummy playing conditions being a glaring factor. The Bears and Packers are built for conditions like this, but don’t count out Cam and former Super Bowl MVP Drew Brees. A little rain likely won’t bother these proven winners.


Jaguars reciben a los rams y a la lluvia

por Will Strome, NFLWeather.com | 10-13-2017 16:00

 

It’s starting to feel like every NFL game in the Sunshine State this season has been effected by rain and Sunday in Jacksonville will be no different when the Jacksonville Jaguars host the Los Angeles Rams.

According to NFLWeather.com, Jacksonville is expecting rain this weekend with an all-day drizzle on Sunday ending in the early evening. Temperatures will hover in the mid-to-low 80s with a light 8-10 mph wind. The rain shouldn’t be very heavy so anticipating a downpour won’t be a problem, but a slick pigskin and Bermuda grass surface inside EverBank Field are a completely different story.

Fournette Leonard Fournette Leonard. Photo courtesy of USA Today.

Jacksonville (3-2) is perfectly prepped for a game like this, having already played in and won two rain games this season. But success in the rain for the Jags hasn’t always been the case. Since 2010, the team is 4-2 in rain games but 2-2 prior to this season, picking up both wins at home. These last two weather impacted games though, both away from home, Jacksonville has outside its opposition 74-16.

It’s been a lethal combo of suffocating defense and unpredictable offense in both rain game victories for the Jags, and it was a different player each day that played the role of hero. In round one against Baltimore, a 44-7 drumming in London, quarterback Blake Bortles tossed four TD’s, completed 65% of his passes and steered clear of turning the ball over. As for round two, a shocking 30-9 win in Pittsburgh, Leonard Fournette proved once and for all he’s totally legit with a 28 touches for 181 yard performance including a pair of scores. Everyone else, like receivers Allen Hurns and Marquise Lee, have been virtually nonexistent but will each be a lurking threat this week.

As for Los Angeles (3-2), a team that’s played home games for decades under a dome in St. Louis or cloudless LA sunshine, the Rams are surprisingly a tough team to beat when poor weather is a factor.

According to the NFLWeather.com Historical Analytics, since 2009 the Rams are 4-1 when rain is in the forecast with the most recent being a 37-32 come from behind win at Tampa Bay. Quarterback Jared Goff, who’s having a sensational sophomore season, hasn’t played in a rain game since his days at Cal when the Golden Bears were thumped in Eugene years ago.

Even if Goff shines in Sunday’s damp and dreary conditions, if the running game gets stuck in the mud, the entire offense will struggle against JAX’s impressive defense. Bank on Todd Gurley seeing over 20+ touches and being a total workhorse in both the running and passing attack.

Both the Rams and Jags are extremely fortunate to have arguably two of the top three or four young running backs in the league. USA Today’s Steve Gardner praised Fournette’s week five performance in his most recent fantasy article, pointing out the rookie runner racked up 30.4 points in a standard scoring league. Could he recreate another historic performance? Not likely, but the Rams do allow over 133 rushing yards per game and have surrendered a league-leading seven rushing touchdowns so another big outing could absolutely be in the forecast.

If the LA defense doesn’t slow down and contain Fournette, the long-time laughingstock Jacksonville Jaguars will be a respectable 4-2 on the summit of the AFC South. If they don’t, well guess what, the Rams will be the surprising 4-2 team and former laughingstock who are sadly stuck in a market where no one will even notice.


Los Bengals se preparan para recibir a a los Bills en la lluvia

por Will Strome, NFLWeather.com | 10-06-2017 18:00

 

It’s no secret that Andy Dalton has had his problems in crucial matchups but when the redhead competes in crummy conditions, the Cincinnati gunslinger is surprisingly one of the NFL’s more underrated passers.

Andre Holmes Andre Holmes. Photo courtesy of USA Today.

According to NFLWeather.com, rain will blanket the greater Cincinnati area all weekend long with a minimal chance of it easing up for Sunday’s 1pm kickoff. Temperatures should be in the mid-to-high 70s with a light wind of 5-6 mph. The playing surface inside Paul Brown Stadium, a UBU Sports’ Speed Series S5-M synthetic turf, won’t get too slippery but the pigskin on the other hand will be the real issue for both sides.

Dalton and the Bengals (1-3) might not be off to the best of starts in 2017, but according to the NFLWeather.com Historical Analytics, the team is 5-3 in the rain game since 2010 and 4-1 at home. In five career rain games, Dalton has found the end zone five times and only tossed a pair of picks but three fumbles are a little alarming. If he can avoid coughing up the ball, Dalton will be expected to air it out often, given he averages over 33 passing attempts per rain game.

Even with showers in Sunday’s forecast, Mother Nature won’t dictate how often the team unleashes its aerial assault but if the Bengals can’t establish any sort of ground game, the early season woes will certainly continue. Rookie Joe Mixon is finally being handed the reins, racking up 35 carries over the last two games but only tallying just over 90 yards total during that span. Giovani Bernard and Jeremy Hill are still seeing some action but the fantasy stock in both players is plummeting.

The only must-start in fantasy in the Bengals lineup is an obvious choice, AJ Green, but ever since Tyler Eifert went down a surprising upstart has emerged as a solid streaming option at tight end. Tyler Kroft saw seven targets last weekend against Cleveland and hauled in two for touchdowns. Even USA Today’s Steve Gardner admitted to underestimating him last week and now Kroft looks to be a hot commodity on the waiver wire.

Kroft wasn’t the only player Gardner mentioned in his most recent article, with Buffalo’s Andre Holmes receiving some praise as well. “With No. 1 wide-out Jordan Matthews out at least a month with a thumb injury, Holmes should see an uptick in targets,” Gardner wrote. Behind Holmes, really all that’s left in Buffalo’s mediocre passing attack is Zay Jones and tight end Charles Clay.

The Bills (3-1) are off to a hot start and hoping a Mid-western rainstorm won’t dampen their momentum. But, playing conditions shouldn’t slow down a Bills side that’s plenty familiar with heavy home game precipitation. Last season, the Bills were 1-1 in snow games at home but over the last few seasons when rain or snow have been apparent, Buffalo has struggled mightily.

The Bills are 3-7 since 2010 when rain is a factor and 0-4 on the road during that span. The team is also winless in rain games since 2013 and 0-2 when current starter Tyrod Taylor is under center. Even though Taylor averages 38 drop backs per rain game, Taylor is a tricky fantasy play against the league’s third-best passing defense. That being said, maybe LeSean McCoy could see 30+ touches.

The weather on Sunday will be pretty darn dreary, much like the rest of Cincinnati’s season if they can’t turn it around and pull out a win at home against a very beatable Bills side. But don’t sleep on Buffalo, a win on Sunday and suddenly the Bills are 4-1 and tied for the second-best record in the AFC.


Gigantes y Bucaneros se preparan par duelo en la lluvia

por Will Strome, NFLWeather.com | 09-29-2017 17:00

 

The Sunshine State really hasn’t been living up to its name lately….For the second time in four weeks, torrential rain is about to impact a Tampa Bay Buccaneers regular season game but at least this time around the Bucs will actually get to play!

In the days leading up to the first NFL Sunday of the season with Hurricane Irma bound for the Florida coast, the league forced the Bucs and Dolphins to reschedule the opener for later in the season. Thankfully, Florida isn’t bracing for another devastating Hurricane, but plenty of precipitation is forecasted for the weekend ahead.

According to NFLWeather.com, heavy rain is expected throughout the day with winds picking up as the day goes on, maxing out at 16-18 mph. Temperatures should stick in the low-80s and feel that way for most of the game with humidity not likely an issue. But the real issue will be muddy field conditions with storms arriving in Tampa Friday and Saturday. It looks like a notoriously awful field is about to get that much worse.

Jameis Winston Jameis Winston. Photo courtesy of USA Today.

Green Bay quarterback Aaron Rodgers has been vocal about his disdain for the grass inside Raymond James Stadium after he obtained a calf injury back in 2015. He even went as far as to say some surfaces in the league are more likely to create injury than prevent one. Crummy playing conditions aside, whether Rodgers likes it or not, the game in Tampa will go on!

The Buccaneers (1-1) don’t exactly have promising statistics in rain games over recent seasons but at least the team is plenty familiar with having to battle the damp elements at home. According to NFLWeather.com Historical Analytics, Tampa is 1-4 in the rain since 2011 including back-to-back losses at home a year ago to the Rams and Broncos.

In both rain game losses last season, neither the offense nor defense could find any sort of consistency but the Bucs did see random spurts of sunshine in the form of Jameis Winston. The former Heisman winner did have his problems battling the weather, tossing three picks and coughing up a pair of fumbles, but the turnovers shouldn’t discourage fantasy owners from playing the young gunslinger who also averaged two touchdowns, over 290 passing yards and over 46 passing attempts per game.

Winston will be the star of the show Sunday but he’ll need support from his cast. Wide-outs Mike Evans and DeSean Jackson will see their fair share of targets and should spread the field nicely to leave some open space between the hashes for tight end Cameron Brate, who USA Today’s Steve Gardner likes as one of his “trove of TE’s” following his performance week three and his increasing involvement in the passing game. The backfield duties will likely be split by Jacquizz Rodgers and Chris Sims who need to establish some sort of a rushing attack for an offense that’s had a less than stagnant ground game thus far.

The New York Football Giants (0-3) can sympathize, being another team that’s genuinely struggled to move the ball on the ground. Paul Perkins has been and will continue to be the starter but being the top dog in a backfield that’s stuck in the mud, certainly isn’t worth starting fantasy-wise.

One of the few Giants actually worth starting is stud wide receiver Odell Beckham Jr., and perhaps a few of the counterparts around him. USA Today’s Gardner also wrote this week that he’s a big fan of fellow WR Sterling Shepard who will “get plenty of targets this week against Tampa,” Gardner wrote.

Despite the incoming storms, both Beckham and Shepard will see plenty of looks from veteran QB Eli Manning who historically averages 43 passing attempts per rainy road game. If the rain gets too heavy, the game plan will likely shift to pounding the ball between the tackles but until that’s the case, the weather won’t dictate how often Manning drops back. That being said, veteran Brandon Marshall and rookie tight end Eric Engram could be sneaky fantasy plays.

Lightning and a downpour featured in Thursday night’s Bears-Packers game, marking the first of what could be a handful of NFL games affected by nasty weather this weekend. It begins again early Sunday across the pond when rain is expected in the London forecast for the Saints-Dolphins game. Check back to NFLWeather.com early Sunday for weather updates on all NFL matchups this weekend!


Encuentro demorado

por The NFLWeather Team | 09-28-2017 21:30

 

Thursday night game  between Bears and Packers was suspended at rhe beginning of the second quarter due to lightning storms.


Complete Fantasy Football Guide

por The NFLWeather Team | 09-23-2017 11:00

 

Steve Gardner's Complete Week 3 Fantasy Football Guide is up on the USA Today website. Check it out!.


More than London Fog: Jaguars and Ravens Expect Rain at Wembley

por Will Strome, NFLWeather.com | 09-23-2017 10:00

 

As the NFL prepares for the first of four regular season games in London, the only thing more welcoming than the English hospitality is the impending rain for Sunday’s kickoff inside Wembley Stadium.

According to NFLWeather.com, drizzle is expected on Sunday afternoon in London with temperatures lingering in the high-50s. Wind won’t be a factor inside the English National Soccer Team’s home venue but the slick grass surface, a Desso GrassMaster intended primarily for soccer matches, might cause some serious slippage and force players to adjust their cleats both prior to and during the game.

Blake Bortles Blake Bortles. Photo courtesy of USA Today.

Back in 2015, the New York Jets brought both molded and hard-rubber cleats along with multiple sizes of both, with the intention of testing each out in the week leading up to the game and during the pregame as well at the famous football.

Over the last decade or so, the Ravens (2-0) have been a very difficult team to beat in weather-impacted games, both at home and away. According to the NFLWeather.com Historical Analytics, Baltimore is 8-1 in rain games since 2009 and 2-0 on the road. Much of the team’s success in damp conditions can be attributed to the fact that Mother Nature doesn’t seem to have a negative impact on the Ravens offense, averaging almost 28 points per game over that nine game span.

Spearheading that attack is quarterback Joe Flacco who despite poor weather conditions in the forecast, still averages 30 or more passing attempts per game and just over 230 ypg. Most impressively, he has a career 13-to-3 TD-to-INT ratio in the rain. In Flacco’s last few most recent games featuring precipitation, the veteran QB spreads the ball nicely but if he has to hone in on one target in particular, it’s traditionally been his tight end, Dennis Pitta. But with Pitta gone, the security blanket role falls on Benjamin Watson, Nick Boyle or Maxx Williams. With the TE situation being such a crap-shoot, the only real fantasy football guarantee in the passing game is that newcomer Jeremy Maclin will see the majority of targets for a wide out.

In the backfield with Danny Woodhead out, Terrance West and Javorious Allen will carry the work load for the Ravens. Neither is a very enticing fantasy play, but in Baltimore’s most recent rain game, the backfield collectively racked up over 150 rushing yards, averaging 6.3 yards a carry. Both will be heavily involved in alleviating the pressure off Flacco’s shoulders.

Jacksonville (1-1) hasn’t quite had the same success in crummy conditions as Baltimore has but the Jags are still a reasonably competitive team in weather related matchups. Since 2010 in rain games, the team is 2-2 with both losses occurring away from home.

Quarterback Blake Bortles has prepped for games like this, literally since the opening practice of camp this summer when a torrential downpour welcomed the Jaguars to the 2017 season. But practice aside, Bortles has very little NFL experience in rain games. If the Jags can’t establish a run game early, anchored by prized rookie Leonard Fournette, Baltimore could put this one out of reach early. Especially now that top wideout Allen Robinson is done for the remainder of the year. All eyes are on Marquise Lee and Allen Hurns to fill the gaping void.

Back in 2014 when Detroit and Atlanta played at Wembley, the grounds crew spent all of halftime fixing divots and collecting chunks of sod that had been ripped from the field… and that was with minimal rain. If a drizzle turns to a downpour on Sunday, this game has the potential to be the sloppiest and wettest one yet in the UK.


Reporte: LLuvia y Aguilas sobre Kansas City

por The NFLWeather Team | 09-16-2017 09:00

 

Despite massive week one road wins for Kansas City and Philadelphia, it may literarily and metaphorically rain on someone’s unbeaten parade this weekend when both the Eagles and mid-western storms visit Kansas City on Sunday.

According to NFLWeather.com, rain is expected both in the morning and early evening so intermittent showers during the game are very much a possibility. The Saturday forecast in Kansas City calls for a 20% chance of precipitation so the grass surface inside Arrowhead Stadium could end up getting pretty sloppy come the fourth quarter of Sunday’s 1pm EST kickoff. So even if the forecast remains partly cloudy at game time, the slick surface could cause a couple of turnovers.

Alex Smith Alex Smith. Photo courtesy of USA Today.

Wind isn’t expected to be much of a factor, maxing out around 5-7 mph, and humidity won’t be too overwhelming with temperatures likely to be in the mid-70s for most of the game.

Unfortunately for Philadelphia (1-0), the Eagles don’t seem to play their best football when weather is a factor. According to the NFLWeather.com Historical Analytics, Philly is only 2-5 in rain games since 2009 and 1-2 on the road during that span.

The most recent rain game being a December 2016 loss in Baltimore, 27-26, where Carson Wentz fumbled twice and threw an interception. Even though the team rushed 38 times for 169 yards, forcing Wentz to drop back 42 times (only completed 22 attempts) was not the winning formula then and it certainly won’t be today. The offensive workhorse needs to be bruising back LeGarrette Blount if Philly can escape week two with a second consecutive win away from home.

On the other hand, Kansas City (1-0) has been superb in weather impacted games, especially at home. Since 2010, the Chiefs are 8-4 in rain games and 3-0 at Arrowhead. Much of that can be attributed to the team’s sensational defense, surrendering 22 points or more only three times over that 12 game span and allowing on average only 17.3 points per game.

Aside from the Chiefs’ stout defense, one surprising constant in KC has been veteran quarterback Alex Smith. Last season in weather-related games, Smith averaged over 34 drop backs per game, had an impressive 65% completion percentage and managed to post a touchdown-to-interception ratio of 1:1. He’ll be on the lookout for his top target Tyreek Hill and red zone threat Travis Kelce.

But just like Philly’s chances for offensive success, the ground game will ultimately have to reign supreme in a game where avoiding turnovers and winning the time of possession battle are absolutely crucial. Kareem Hunt will be the top dog in a backfield that is 4-0 in the rain since 2015 when the RB corps sees 20+ touches.

In two extremely competitive divisions where every win matters, grinding out an early season in the rain could be the difference maker in playing in a January wildcard game and cleaning out the locker. Every turnover, every first down, every muddy yard will matter on Sunday. Smash mouth football will be at its finest in Missouri this weekend, and it’s only week two!


Huracan Irma postpone el encountro entre Dolphins y Bucaneers

por The NFLWeather Team | 09-09-2017 10:00

 

As hurricane season peaks and powerful storms pummel the coast, the National Football League is forcing the Miami Dolphins and Tampa Bay Buccaneers to take cover week one and reschedule their season opener for week 11 as Florida and the majority of the southern east coast brace for Hurricane Irma.

Just over a week after Hurricane Harvey mercilessly ripped through Texas and Louisiana, Mother Nature is on another collision course with Florida, Georgia and the Carolinas; and is expected to hit the coast by the weekend. The NFL debated between moving the game up a few days to Thursday night, playing in a different city or pushing it back until later in the season; ultimately opting to play the game later in the season when both teams have their schedule bye week in mid-November.

Up until the game was officially postponed on Tuesday, the same day Irma was upgraded to a Category 5 Hurricane, both teams were still prepping as though the Sunday 1pm kickoff at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami was still the game plan. Had the hurricane not been on a kamikaze mission with the Caribbean, a little rain would not have phased Tampa Bay nor Miami given both teams are extremely familiar with late-summer Florida heat and precipitation, and rain games in general having both played in a two-a-piece last season.

According to NFLWeather.com Historical Analytics, both sides combined for a 1-3 record in rain games last season and a combined 4-10 record since 2009. Not exactly an encouraging statistic for either team, however, but Miami is 3-3 at home over that span which includes a rain game win in December over Arizona, 26-23.

Prior to the ‘Phins-Bucs game officially being rescheduled to week 11, according to NFLWeather.com, conditions were expected to be extremely rainy with dangerous winds and precipitation was only going to get heavier and heavier as the game endured. Humidity would have made the 80-degree day felt more like the mid-to-low 90’s so a sticky, muggy afternoon was in store had the storms not been expected.

Come week 11, if Mother Nature rears her ugly head in Florida for the rescheduled matchup, check back with NFLWeather.com and we’ll be here for the coverage…. Again!


Buccaneers at Dolphins rescheduled

por The NFLWeather Team | 09-06-2017 11:00

 

The NFL officially postponed the Tampa Bay Buccaneers-Miami Dolphins tilt until Week 11, due to hurricane Irma. You an read the official anouncement here.

We have updated our database to reflect this. The link to the new game page is here.


STEELERS CONTRA PATRIOTS… Otra vez.

por Will Strome, Columnist, NFLWeather.com | 01-20-2017 11:00

 

Ambas franquicias se han enfrentado en similares circunstancias, dos veces desde 2002, pero nunca los Patriots han recibido a los Steelers en un choque por el título de la AFC en Foxboro, y en los dos combates anteriores nunca fue factor el clima. Bueno, parece que el paisaje y las condiciones han cambiado. Pittsburgh se dirigirá a Nueva Inglaterra para el partido de campeonato de Conferencia de la AFC en una fria noche el domingo en el estadio Gillette.

De acuerdo con NFLWeather.com , las temperaturas el inicio del juego apenas superarán los 40 grados y se sentirá 5-10 grados más frío que lo que lee el termómetro. Aunque las precipitaciones no se esperan a las 6:40 pm hora del este (momento del inicio del encuentro), hay una pequeña posibilidad de lluvia una vez que las temperaturas desciendan durante la segunda mitad. A partir del jueves, el pronóstico habla de vientos que alcanzaran las 10-12 mph, pero quién sabe si las condiciones del invierno empeorarán en Foxboro antes del domingo.

LeGarrette Blount LeGarrette Blount. Photo courtesy of USA Today.

Pero este frente de inviernal no deberia afectar a ninguno de los dos equipos, ya que ambos jugaron en climas gelidos hace apenas una semana durante las victorias en la ronda divisional de la AFC. De hecho, cuatro de los últimos cinco partidos de Pittsburgh cayeron por debajo de los 32 grados mientras que los otros dos seguían por debajo de los 40. Los Steelers terminaron ganando los seis juegos, pero la experiencia en condiciones árticas por sí sola no será suficiente para conseguir una ventaja temprana sobre Tom Brady en el enfrentamiento del domingo en Nueva Inglaterra, donde los Pats aparentemente nunca pierden, especialmente cuando la temporada está en juego.

No es ningún secreto que los Patriots son casi inmejorables en casa en el mes de enero, pero el equipo no ha sido exactamente impecable como la mayoría esperaría. Los Pats estan 10-3 en casa en enero desde 2010 pero sorprendentemente menos de la mitad de los encuentros presentaron temperaturas de congelación. Cuando la temperatura baja por debajo de la congelación, de acuerdo con la Analitica Historica de NFLWeather.com, Nueva Inglaterra tiene un record de 13-2 en casa y 18-4 en general desde 2009.

Gran parte de ese éxito se puede atribuir al líder inquebrantable del equipo, el mariscal de campo, tres veces ganador del Super Bowl Tom Brady. Tom Terrific no parece permitir que los elementos lo afecten con un record de 9-1 en sus últimos 10 juegos impactados por el clima y ha anclado una ofensiva que tiene un promedio de más de 35 puntos por partido. Incluso cuando las condiciones meteorológicas se pronostican adversas, Brady todavía promedia 36 pases completos por partido y poco cambiará contra Pittsburgh en un partido que podría ser explosivo en cuanto a puntos anotados.

Julian Edelman, a quien Brady a buscado con sus pases mas de diez veces en siete de los últimos ocho partidos, continuara siendo su primera opcion seguido por un par de alas abiertas cuestionables en Chris Hogan y Malcolm Mitchell. Si uno de los dos no puede ser de la partida, el recién adquirido veterano y ex Cardenal de Arizona Michael Floyd podría tener una tarde decente. Tight End Martellus Bennett, quien estuvo limtado en la práctica del jueves junto con Hogan Y Mitchell, ha reemplazado muy bien a Gronk esta temporada y verá un montón de acción cerca de la zona roja, junto con pases de pocas yardas, especialmente se levantan fuertes vientos o si finalmente hay precipitaciones.

Nueva Inglaterra tiene muchas sólidas opciones de pase, pero el arma que no tendrá el domingo es una superestrella como Antonio Brown. A.B. vio objetivos de dos dígitos en 11 de 16 partidos esta temporada y cuando el clima es un factor, parece que se involucra aún más. A principios de diciembre durante un viaje a Buffalo bajo la nieve, Brown vio 11 pases y durante los playoffs de 2016 solamente ha sido blanco 20 veces. Si Nueva Inglaterra no puede interrumpir la química de AB con Ben Roethlisberger, los Pats podrían tener un problema este fin de semana.

Hablando de Roethlisberger, no hay mejor mariscal de campo en la liga en partidos de malas condiciones climaticas, especialmente en la postemporada. Pittsburgh tiene un record de 12-2 en juegos impactados por el clima desde 2012 y lo más impresionante, sólo entrego el balon seis veces. Si puede evitar las pérdidas de balón como hizo hace una semana en la tundra congelada de Kansas City, Big Ben y compañía podrían mantener este partido a mano.

Pero eso también dependerá de cuánto afecte el juego Le'Veon Bell contra una defensa de Nueva Inglaterra que permitió menos de 90 yardas por yarda por juego durante la temporada regular. Pittsburgh tuvo que soportar las temperaturas de congelación en cada una de las últimas dos semanas y prevaleció, en gran parte gracias al juego imparable de Bell. En los últimos dos juegos, Bell ha acumulado 237 yardas en 59 acarreos y dos anotaciones. Eso ni siquiera incluye su contribución en el juego aereo que incluyó cuatro recepciones en siete pases. Seis veces esta temporada Bell le lanzaron el balon siete veces o más por lo que se espera que este fuertemente involucrado tanto en el juego terrestre como en el aereo, algo que ya es tradicion para Pittsburgh.

Su contraparte y ex compañero de equipo, LaGarrette Blount, intentera atormentar a su antiguo equipo. Blount es back ideal para las duras condiciones de juego y debería ver una carga de trabajo ligeramente más pesada que Dion Lewis, ya que Pittsburgh ha tenido más problemas contra los RB más fuertes esta temporada. Blount sólo vio ocho acarreos la semana pasada, siendo esta la primera vez que tubo menos de diez acarreos esta temporada, se espera que ese número se duplique el domingo.

Al igual que los Pats, Pittsburgh ha tenido un montón de éxito en enero en los últimos años y por suerte para la Nación Steeler el Negro y Oro tiene un récord de visitante aún mejor que en Heinz Field. Desde 2009, Pittsburgh esta 6-2 de visitante en enero y 10-3 en general y cuando las temperaturas están por debajo de la congelación, los Steelers presentan un asombroso 7-1 de visitante y 14-4 en general. Cuando la nieve cae, al parecer, tambien lo hace la cortina de acero dado que la defensa, de visitante en condiciones de congelación, ha permitido tan solo 17,8 puntos por partido en las últimas siete temporadas.

Prever al equipo negro y oro venciendo a Brady en Foxboro este fin de semana parece casi imposible. Después de todo, han pasado más de cinco años desde que Pittsburgh venció por última vez a los Pats y una victoria en Nueva Inglaterra es una de las pocas hazañas que Big Ben todavía tiene que conquistar en su carrera profesional. Después de dos derrotas en el Campeonato de la AFC en casa en un lapso de tres años, aunque fue hace aproximadamente 15 años, los Acereros siguen ansiosos de venganza. No olvidemos que la venganza es un plato mejor servido frío y estara muy frío Foxboro este domingo.


Steelers vs Chiefs Ronda Divisional

por Will Strome, Columnist, NFLWeather.com | 01-13-2017 15:00

 

Los Chiefs y Steelers han soportado todo tipo de problemas meteorológicos en esta temporada. Por lo tanto, parece apropiado que el el pronóstico del domingo en Kansas City está indicando condiciones árticas con temperaturas de congelación y precipitaciones mixtas para este combate de la ronda divisional de los playoffs de la AFC.

De acuerdo con NFLWeather.com , de dos a cuatro pulgadas de nieve se pronostican para el domingo con las temperaturas oscilando alrededor del punto de congelación. Pero, si las temperaturas suben a medida que avanza el juego, la nieve podría potencialmente convertirse en una lluvia helada. Aunque las temperaturas estaran alrededor de 30-32 antes del partido, el mínimo de siete mph de viento frio hará que se sienta más cerca de los 20 grados. La superficie de pasto del Arrowhead Stadium ya ha sido golpeada esta temporada, y si la nieve eventualmente se convierte en lluvia, el ritmo del juego podría deternerse por completo.

Travis Kelce Travis Kelce. Photo courtesy of USA Today.

Kansas City (12-4) no ha jugado en un partido con nieve esta temporada, pero estan 2-1 en la lluvia y 1-1 en condiciones de congelación . El tiempo fue factor cuando perdieron en Pittsburgh en la cuarta semana, 43-14 , por lo que KC tendrá como objetivo utilizar el clima para su ventaja, ya que ya ha jugado en tres partidos impactados por el clima desde principios de diciembre por lo que incorporar el estado del tiempo en el plan de juego no deberia ser mucho problema. Especialmente saliendo de una fecha libre. El entrenador en jefe Andy Reid tiene un record de 19-2 después de una fecha libre en el transcurso de su carrera.

Pero para obtener la dulce redención sobre los Steelers, la ofensiva de los Chiefs tendrá que hacer lo que no podu hacer contra ellos antes, y eso es mover el balón y reducir los tres-y-fuera que le permitieron a Pittsburgh demasiadas oportunidades a la ofensiva.

El mariscal de campo Alex Smith, quien completó 30 de 50 intentos para 287 yardas con un par de TD's y una entrega frente a Pittsburgh , tiene un impresionante 65% de pases completos en los juegos impactados por el clima este año y necesitará un juego libre de entregas para avanzar al juego de campeonato de la AFC. Este año, cuando el clima es un factor, Smith sigue intento más de 32 pases por juego acumulando cerca de 240 yardas con una relación de touchdown a intercepción de 1:1. No necesariamente unas estadísticas intimidantes, pero es evidente que todavía obtiene la luz para pasar a menudo incluso en condiciones desfavorables por lo que Travis Kelce, Jeremy Maclin y Tyreek Hill verá un montón de pases contra una secundaria inconsistente.

Smith ha tenido la suerte de tener un backfield formidable detrás de él, incluso en ausencia de Jamaal Charles durante todo el año. Spencer Ware se ha alzado y ha servido como corredor titular y aunque sólo promedió menos de 18 acarreos en juegos con mal clima esta temporada, verá una carga de trabajo pesada contra una defensa de los Steelers que permitio 405 yardas por tierra en los últimos tres partidos. A pesar de su limitada carga en condiciones desfavorables, ha promediado 80 yardas en la tierra por juego en estos casos.

Un jugador que sin duda no tendrá que preocuparse por su participación ofensiva es el punto focal de toda la ofensiva de Pittsburgh, Le'Veon Bell. En su corta carrera de solo cinco juegos en mal tiempo, Bell ha anotado un 673 yardas (134 ypp) y cinco touchdowns. Su talento fue mejor exhibido en la nieve de Buffaloen la semana 14, cuando Bell corrio para 236 yardas en 38 acarreos y anoto un trío de TD's. Él es el corredor ideal para la lluvia o la nieve y si KC no lo mantiene contenido, los Steelers se dirigen a su primer juego de campeonato en seis años y noveno en 23.

De acuerdo con la Analitica Historica de NFLWeather.com, desde 2009 Pittsburgh (12-5) esta 15-5 cuando las precipitaciones son un factor y mucho de eso se puede acreditar al juego estoico de Ben Roethlisberger. A pesar de las malas condiciones, Big Ben todavía promedia más de 30 intentos de pase y casi 245 yardas por juego. Pero su stadistica en juegos de lluvia más impresionante es su relación TD-a-INTde 28:9.

No es ningún secreto quien sera el objetivo principal de Ben. Antonio Brown, la semana pasada contra Miami, tuvo 124 yardas y dos anotcaiones en camino a una victoria 30-12 en el wildcard contra los delfines. Contra KC esta temporada AB sólo tuvo cuatro recepciones, pero convirtió la mitad de esas jugadas en puntuaciones. Brown y Bell serán el uno-dos pero el veloz receptor Eli Rogers y probablemente el Ala cerrada Jesse James podrían ver oportunidades de encontrar la zona de anotacion.

Parece apropiado que estas defensas de estilos similares y fisicos choquen en condiciones heladas, y cualquiera que sea la unidad defensiva que pueda crear la mayor cantidad de pérdidas de balón probablemente sea la que se dirija al juego de Campeonato de la AFC en Nueva Inglaterra (salvo un milagro). Con posiblemente dos partidos de playoff divisionales jugandose bajo techo (no hay noticias aún sobre el domo en Dallas), el mejor de los cuatro juegos podría terminar siendo este enfrentamiento en Kansas City.

Ambos equipos son dos de los mejores de la AFC en juegos de mal tiempo, registrando un récord combinado de 24-10 en los juegos impactados por el clima desde 2009. Ninguno de los equipos parece permitir que los elementos naturales los afecten. Veremos la presión de los playoffs mezclada con lluvia helada cambiará eso.

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Juego de Comodines de la NFC: Seahawks y Lions contra la lluvia

por Will Strome, Columnist, NFLWeather.com | 01-05-2017 17:00

 

Los equipos que viajan a la costa noroeste del Pacífico entienden que la lluvia es casi una constante en noviembre, pero las temperaturas congeladas y las ráfagas de nieve no son tan comunes. Pero eso es lo que se espera este sábado en el partido de comodines de la NFC, donde los Detroit Lions y los Seattle Seahawks se enfrentaran por un pase la ronda divisional.

De acuerdo con NFLWeather.com , las precipitaciones y las temperaturas frías se esperan para la patada inicial del sábado. Una llovizna temprana podría potencialmente convertirse en nieve durante el ultimo cuarto, pero el viento no deberia ser factor, ya que se preveen rafagas de solo cinco mph como máximo. Las temperaturas para el incio de juego comenzarán en los mediados a los 30 pero en el tercer cuarto, el campo de CenturyLink se sentirá más cercano a 30 grados o quizas un poco menos.

Seattle (10-5-1) no es ajeno a los juegos de playoffs en condiciones desfavorables. Los Hawks no tuvieron problemas con los Saints bajo la lluvia en casa en 2014, derribando a Drew Brees y compañía 23-15 en esa ocasion. Incluso las condiciones árticas jugando de visitante no pudieron detenerlos cuando vencieron a los Vikings, 10-9, en el tercer partido de playoff más frío de la historia la temporada pasada. Pero no son imparables, una semana después de derrotar a Minnesota, los campeones defensores de la NFC fueron vencidos por Carolina en un campo resbaladizo, empapado y relampagueado en los playoffs de la NFC hace menos de un año.

Jordy Nelson Jordy Nelson. Photo courtesy of USA Today.

Lo que es intimidante sobre los Seahawks es su registro bajo la lluvia, especialmente en casa. De acuerdo con la Analitica Historica de NFLWeather.com , Seattle tiene una marca de 8-2 en los últimos diez juegos con lluvia y promedia cerca de 30 puntos por partido. Pero cuando las temperaturas de congelación son el factor y la precipitación es inexistente, los Halcones sólo estan 1-4 en sus últimos cinco enfrentamientos y la producción ofensiva se corta a la mitad (aproximadamente 15 puntos por juego).

Resultados similares se ven con la defensa generalmente robusta de Seattle. En la lluvia, sólo permiten 15 puntos por juego mientras que en condiciones estrictamente frígidas el promedio salta a casi 31. Detroit deberia poner sus esperanzas en una tarde fría y seca si tienen alguna intención de derribar a un equipo que ha estado en dos de los últimos tres Super Bowls.

El mariscal de campo Russell Wilson ha producido un sólido récord en la lluvia, a pesar de haber completado sólo el 55% de sus pases y tener una relacion de touchdown / intercepciones de 13:10 en su carrera profesional. Pero ganar es ganar. En condiciones de congelamiento, el porcentaje de pases completos de Wilson sigue siendo aproximadamente el mismo en 56%, pero su relación se invierte a tres intercepciones por cada dos TD's. Con el tiempo siendo un factor Jimmy Graham sera su opcion de seguridad aunque, sorprendentemente, sólo ha promediado cuatro intentos de pase por juego durante las últimas cuatro semanas. Por otro lado Doug Baldwin, su blanco principal, recibio 19 intentos de pase hace dos semanas.

Wilson necesitará desesperadamente establecer el juego por tierra contra una defensa de Detroit que ha permitido 110 yardas o más por tierra en cada una de las últimas tres semanas. Sin embargo, Seattle no ha tenido 100 yardas individuales ya que Rawls no ha sido una gran amenaza, con un promedio de 35 yardas por juego desde la semana 14 y, si esa tendencia continúa, el novato Alex Collins probablemente le robará algunos acarreos.

Detroit (9-7) está lejos de ser impresionante en la nieve o la lluvia, teniendo un récord sin victorias (0-4) en las últimas temporadas. En cuanto a jugar en el frío, sin embargo, el pensamiento convencional sería que un equipo que juega de local en un estadio techado como los Leones tendria problemas en los climas de casi congelación, pero competir en la NFC Norte significa jugar en muchos juegos al aire libre en el Medio Oeste en Diciembre. Cuando la precipitación está en el pronóstico, la ofensiva de los Leones promedia sólo 17.5 puntos por juego pero en temperaturas frías la ofensiva coloca cuatro puntos mas por juego y los con registro de 1-6 desde 2010.

Matthew Stafford necesita ser el salvador de los Leones. Habiendo pasado el balon 40 veces o más en casi la mitad de los juegos esta temporada, independientemente de cuáles sean las condiciones, es eguro que estara pasando la pelota muchas veces. En el más reciente juego frígido de visitante, Stafford completó 28 de 39 intentos para 298 yardas y tres anotaciones en camino a una victoria 24-20.

Parece que el receptor principal de Stafford han variado cada semana. Eric Ebron ha visto 25 objetivos durante las últimas tres semanas, pero no ha encontrado el endzone desde la primera semana. La adquisición de fuera de temporada Marvin Jones Jr. parecía ser la opción número uno por unas pocas semanas, pero se ha visto superado por Golden Tate antes de la semana seis, promediaba sólo seis objetivos de un juego. Desde entonces, el veloz ala se ha afirmado como el número uno y ha visto casi 10 objetivos por partido.

Pero a pesar del éxito del juego aereo durante toda la temporada, si el juego por tierra no puede ponerse en marcha, Detroit está en problemas. Con Theo Riddick lesionado, Zach Zenner ha saltado a Dwayne Washington como el corredor titular. Zenner en las últimas dos semanas ha acumulado un total de 136 yardas en 32 acarreos y tres anotaciones. Si la lluvia y la nieve se hacen presentes, Zenner y Washington tendran mayor protagoinismo que si sólo se da un clima frío.

Seattle podra ser el favorito, pero no hay que descontar la capacidad de Detroit para desatar su gran ataque aéreo. Earl Thomas, que está fuera con una lesión, cree que los Leones no tienen ninguna posibilidad de ganar en el frío. El último Seahawk que lanzo predicciones durante un frígido juego de playoffs fue Matt Hasselback y inmediatamente despues lanzó una intercepcion para seis puntos para terminar su temporada contra otro equipo de la NFC Norte.



Chapoteando por un comodin de la AFC Oeste - Denver y Kansas City

por Will Strome, Columnist, NFLWeather.com | 12-23-2016 10:00

 

La madre naturaleza ha mostrado su peor lado durante las ultimas semanas de juegos de la NFL y esto se va amantener asi este fin de semana, cuando se enfrenten en un mpartido clave los Broncos y los Chiefs en un partido clave para ambos en lo que se refiere a sus esperanzas de clasificar a la postemporada.

De acuerdo a NFLWeather.com, se espera lluvia y vientos en Arrowhead Stadium. los vientos estaran en las 20 mph y la lluvia mojara un terreno que ya viene de ser muy maltratado en el partido de la semana anterior ante los Titans. Las temperaturas rondaran los 50s (nada preocupante) pero el viento sera un factor el Domingo.

Alex Smith Devontae Booker. Photo courtesy of USA Today.

Ambos rivales de la AFC Oeste ya han jugado, y con moderado exito, en partidos impactados por el clima en esta temporada. Ese mismo moderado exito se ha visto con estos dos equipos, historicamente, en partidos de mal tiempo.

Kansas City (10-4) esta 2-1 en partidos con lluvia esta temporada y 8-4 desde 2010. Pero de acuerdo con la Analitica Historica de NFLWeather.com, KC esta 3-0 de local cuando la lluvia impacta Arrowhead. Los Chiefs vienen de perder sorpresivamente de locales contra Tennesse la semana anterior en condiciones heladas, pero aun asi son muy dificles de vencer en casa cuando el clima es factor. Habiendo ya vencido a los Broncos de visitante esta temporada, es dificil que los Chiefs no se aseguren un lugar en los playoffs luego de este encuentro.

Pero eso dependera de que tan bien el ataque de de Kansas City pueda jugar contra una ferrea defensa de los Broncos que en este momento lidera la liga en yardas permitidas por aire con menos de 185 yardas permitidas por partido. El veterano Alex Smith ha sido muiy consistente durante su carrera en KC tnasto en buenas como en malas condiciones climaticas. En sus ultimos 5 partidos con lluvia (4 de los cuales fueron victorias), Smith completo, en promedio, 22 de 32 pases para 227 yardas con un touchdown. Y tan solo ha entregado el balon 3 veces en ese periodo.

Crédito en el lado ofensivo tiene que ir al comité de corredor de KC que desde 2015 estan 4-0 en juegos de lluvia cuando acarrean mas de 20 veces el balon. Spencer Ware ha sido el más efectivo recientemente, pero Jamaal Charles y Charcandrick West también han sido utilizados y han encontrado éxito cuando están sanos. Durante sus últimos cinco juegos bajo la lluvia, Ware ha corrido para 442 yardas por tierra en 79 acarreos (un impresionante 5.5 ypc) y dos touchdowns.

Denver (8-6) tiene que ganar o ganar y un puesto en la postemporada está empezando a verse bastante complicado de obtener. Habiendo perdido tres de sus últimos cuatro partidos, los Broncos que estuvieron a un juego de la cumbre de la AFC Oeste, estan fuera de los playoffs si la temporada terminara ahora. Es claro que las cosas no van bien cuando un capitán de la defensa le hecha la culpa a la ofensiva en una discusion de vestuario. La ofensiva de Siemian ha promediado 12 puntos por juego en los últimas tres partidos, pero el juego por tierra no está haciendo exactamente su parte para quitarle presión al joven QB.

Hace algunas semanas, Steve Gardner de USA Today mencionó cómo Justin Forsett recién adquirido podría robarle algunos acarreos a Devontae Booker ya que ya está familiarizado con la ofensiva de Gary Kubiak. Bueno, eso fue sin duda el caso de la semana pasada cuando Forsett tuve cuatro acarreos mas que Booker, lo que parece significar otro cambio de guardia en el backfield de Denver. Ninguno de los dos RB es sólido en el footbal de fantasía esta semana, sobre todo porque la mayoría de las ligas tienen juegos de campeonato durante la semana 16. Tristemente, lo mismo podría decirse de los dos receptores principales de Denver, Emanuel Sanders y Demeryius Thomas. Sin embargo, Sanders ha tenido éxito recientenemente contra KC, anotando cuatro veces en los últimos cuatro enfrentamientos.

Una derrota para Denver probablemente pondrá fin a su temporada, mientras que KC todavía puede rebotar si terminan cayendo en un segundo partido consecutivo en casa. Pero dado el éxito reciente del juego en la lluvia de KC y el estado actual de Denver, parece que el domingo la lluvia literalmente pondrá fin al desfile de postemporada de los Broncos.


Picks de NFLW de la Semana 15

por Will Strome and Matt Aloisi | 12-17-2016 11:05

 

 

Daily Fantasy

 

Matt’s Value Players:
QB Phillip Rivers $6,200
RB Matt Asiata $3,400
WR Marquise Lee $4,000
TE Daniel Brown $2,500

Rivers is playing a questionable Oakland defense that will give up points. At home against a divisional rival, I expect Rivers to play well here. Indianapolis can’t stop the run and Asiata has four TD’s in the last five games. If he can get into the endzone with 15 touches, he will out produce his price. Lee is the best WR this year for the Jags. For that price, it gives you the opportunity to pay up for top talent. Brown is minimum price and saw six targets last week. Green Bay is not that good against the pass making Brown such an intriguing option that could go very low owned.

 

Will’s Value Players:
QB Joe Flacco $5,700
RB LeGarrette Blount $3,900
WR Malcolm Mitchell $4,700
TE Charles Clay $2,800

A little rain won’t get to Flacco on Sunday against Philly’s weak secondary. For a sub-$6,000 price tag, Flacco could be a tremendous value play. Denver has a solid defense but it’s clear the Patriots will use Blount to grind down any opponent. That’ll be the game plan on the road this week as New England will stick to a ground and pound to limit the potential for turnovers. Sticking with the NE offense, Mitchell may be the new surprise receiving threat. Having been on the field last week for 54-of-68 plays, it’s clear he’s a new weapon in the Pats’ already lethal aerial arsenal. Lastly, Taylor targeted Clay heavily last week in the snow against Pittsburgh. Conditions are the same but the opposing defense is now substantially worse making him a great cheap buy.

 

 

 

Pick of the Week

 

Matt’s Pick: CIN +3.5 vs PIT

Did you follow both our calls last week? I sure hope so. Now, with Big Ben struggling on the road and this being a divisional game, the likelihood of a blowout is very slim.  These games usually end with a field goal and I expect nothing less in this one. Mark me down for another win.

 

Will’s Pick: TEN +5.5 @ KC

Tennessee just seems to win when it matters most. Even though a victory in Arrowhead is a tough feat, the Titans can keep it close this week. Kansas City’s unimpressive offense won’t run away with this one.


Juegalos / Sientalos Semana 15

por Will Strome and Matt Aloisi | 12-17-2016 11:00

 

Quarterbacks

Start ‘em: Alex Smith, Tyrod Taylor

With the Tennessee defense playing pretty well against the run, I can see Smith doing pretty well here.  Kelce has virtually been unstoppable and with Tyreek Hill’s big play ability, I see the KC QB playing above average Sunday with clear skies expected.

Snow and/or fog will hit Buffalo on Sunday but Taylor showed last week against Pittsburgh he can handle the winter elements. Against Cleveland’s awful defense, he’ll have an absolute field day.

Sit ‘em: Marcus Mariota, Matthew Stafford

Arrowhead is a tough place to play. The Chiefs did a fantastic job shutting down Carr and with 1st place on the line for the AFC West, plan on seeing more of the same.  Mariota has been pretty good this season but I also believe the matchup between the Titans receivers and Chiefs defensive backs favor KC.

Stafford claims his finger is fine but if the Giants’ D gets to him early and often, the entire Detroit offense will struggle. It also doesn’t help his stock this week that rain is in the Sunday forecast.

Running Backs

Start ‘em: Rashard Jennings, Kenneth Farrow

Players have come and gone in the New York backfield this season but Jennings continues to assert himself as the top dog. Rain will be relentless on Sunday so expect Jennings to see an increase in touches.

With Melvin Gordon doubtful, as USA Today’s Steve Gardner mentioned in his fantasy injury report this week, Farrow is slated to see most of the touches for the Chargers. Against an Oakland D, the floor is pretty high here. He also caught balls out of the backfield so I love his chances for a score in this one.

Sit ‘em: Jay Ajayi, all Philly RB’s

I have been wrong every time I’ve mentioned to sit him. But this time, the Jets should been loading up the box since Miami is rolling out their backup QB, forcing Miami to throw the ball. This is one of the plays that will make or break your playoff dreams.

Despite rain expected in Baltimore which will likely result in more carries for Eagle’s running backs, none of them are worth playing. Ryan Matthews still isn’t 100%, Darren Sproles is going through concussion protocol and Kenjon Barner hasn’t done anything to prove himself. Move along.

Martellus Bennett Martellus Bennett. Photo courtesy of USA Today.

Wide Receivers

Start ‘em: Sammy Watkins, Robby Anderson

Forget the snow and his questionable tag; Taylor will be eyeing Watkins all afternoon.

Robby Anderson has seen 23 targets in the last 2 weeks. It’s quite clear he and Petty have a connection. Anderson has really come on as of late for the Jets and why wouldn’t he be able to do it again against a Miami secondary that is very exploitable?

Sit ‘em: Jordan Matthews, Terrelle Pryor

Philly’s offense can’t seem to figure it out and rain won’t help. The Ravens are back home and playing much better against the pass. I do not like Matthews’ chances to score which makes him a liability for your championship run.

He’s been the lone bright spot for the Browns all season but Pryor isn’t a wise play again the Bills. Snow will be a factor on Sunday and the Cleveland offense has struggled mightily to get him involved the last few weeks.

Tight Ends

Start ‘em: Antonio Gates, Martellus Bennett

With Gates approaching Tony Gonzalez’s touchdown record, what better way to do it against one of your rivals? Oakland can’t guard the tight end so look for SD to get him this record on Sunday.

Bennett is back and we saw last week that New England can rack up the passing stats, even if they hold off to do so until the second half. Bennett will be targeted heavily against Denver’s solid D.

Sit ‘em: Zach Ertz, Eric Ebron

See a trend here? I do not like Philly’s passing game for so many reasons. Wentz will be running for his life and he will not have the time to throw to anybody. Sit this man!

If Stafford is healthy, Ebron is a great play. But if the Detroit game plan is to protect a banged up Stafford, Ebron could be used for pass protection more than usual.


Lions y Giants por los playoffs

por Will Strome, Columnist, NFLWeather.com | 12-16-2016 12:00

 

Ambos equipos tienen una marca de 9-4 y pocas personas están hablando de las chances de cualquiera de los dos de llegar lejos en los playoffs de la NFC, pero esten atentos a los Nueva York Giants o a los líderes de la NFC Norte los Detroit Lions que chocan en la lluviosa Gran Manzana el domingo, en lo que podría ser un humedo avance de los playoffs.

Matthew Stafford Matthew Stafford. Photo courtesy of USA Today.

De acuerdo con NFLWeather.com , la lluvia está en el pronóstico, pero las temperaturas parecen flotar en los 40s, por lo que la nieve es poco probable. A partir del miércoles, no parecía que el viento fuera a ser factor esperando que fuera de alrededor de 10mph. EL verdadero problema puede llegar a ser el césped del campo dentro MetLife Stadium si la llovizna se convierte en aguacero.

Hace unas semanas, mencionamos la debilidad de los Giants cuando jeugan de visitantes en los encuentros con lluvia, pero son un equipo completamente diferente jugando en casa en donde promedian 29 puntos por partido. Eli Manning se merece mucho del crédito por eso, con sus mejores estadisticas bajo los elementos en East Rutherford. En sus últimos cinco juegos de lluvia en casa, Manning tiene un promedio de 238 yardas y dos touchdowns completando 19 de 29 intentos con un record de 4-1. Contra la secundaria de Detroit que permite más de 250 yardas por juego, Manning no tendrá problemas para encontrar a la superestrella Odell Beckham Jr. y a su otro joven emergente, Sterling Shepard.

Quizás la estadística meteorológica más impresionante de todas no tiene nada que ver con Manning, y es que los los Gigantes del fútbol de Nueva York no han perdido en casa en la lluvia desde 2009. Gran parte de esto es debido a lo bien que el equipo a menudo domina el tiempo de posesión, mediante una gran dosis de la acarreos bajo la lluvia. Rashad Jennings es un corredor excelente en cualquier condicion climatica con su gran porte y sus pies rápidos. Desde el 2012, sólo una vez en seis juegos hicieron que un RB individual no acumular 100 yardas o más.

En cuanto al juego de Detroit, los visitantes podrían estar sin el corredor, Theo Riddick, que se perdió el partido de la semana pasada contra Chicago. Steve Gardner cree que Riddick es cuestionable y esto podría significar que Dwayne Washington sea el titular para los Leones.

Los Leones, juegan en casa bajo un domo y no tienen un buen record en enfrentamientos impactados por el clima com ovisitantes. Según la Analitica Historica de NFLWeather.com, en los cuatro juegos más recientes con precipitaciones, los Lions estan 0-4 y permitieron 34 puntos o más en tres de ellos.

Ofensivamente, con la excepción del enfrentamiento con Baltimore en 2009, el equipo todavía logra poner números decentes bajo la lluvia o la nieve, promediando aproximadamente 22 puntos por juego. Pero con dudas sobre el estado de Matthew Stafford y Riddick para la semana 15, la ofensiva no parece tan dinámica como lo ha sido anteriormente durante la temporada. Si Stafford juega en la lluvia encintando su dedo lesionado, sus números históricamente caen bastante. Durante sus dos últimos juegos de lluvia , Stafford esta 29 de 71 para 513 yardas, con dos anotaciones y una intercepción.

Ambos equipos pueden permitirse una derrota, pero eso es lo último en las mentes de Detroit y Nueva York. Una victoria para los Gigantes los acerca todavia mas a Dallas en la NFC Este. Una derrota significa que u título de división esta probablement fuera de alcance. Una victoria para los Leones lso deja cerca del titulo de la división. Una derrota y sus amargos rivales Minnesota y Green Bay estarán de vuelta peleando por el titulpo de la división. Ningún equipo puede permitirse el lujo de un error, pero con el clima terrible que se avecina, es más fácil decirlo que hacerlo.


Semana 14 Sientalos / Juegalos

por Will Strome and Matt Aloisi | 12-10-2016 22:05

 

Quarterbacks

Start ‘em: Carson Palmer, Jameis Winston

Facing a poor secondary could be the right play for the Arizona QB. He hasn’t won you too many games this year but if Flacco can succeed against the Dolphins, so can Palmer.

Winston has been a stud all season and at home against New Orleans’ awful secondary; the former Heisman winner will thrive. With zero weather concerns expected, Winston might get close to 40 attempts in ideal passing conditions.

Sit ‘em: Trevor Siemian, Tyrod Taylor

Even though he has the weapons, Siemian hasn’t really put it together this year consistently. Having to rely on the defense to win games, his point expectations this week makes me want to keep him benched.

Pittsburgh doesn’t exactly have the best secondary but snow is expected to hit Buffalo all weekend. The Bills will lean on a heavy dose of McCoy over Taylor this week.

Jonathan Stewart Jonathan Stewart. Photo courtesy of USA Today.

Running Backs

Start ‘em: Jonathan Stewart, Matt Forte

We didn’t like him against Seattle’s solid defense last week but against San Diego’s inconsistent defensive unit, J-Stew is back on track for a big afternoon with zero weather concerns.

A young QB is getting back under center for the Jets and who better to rely on than your “do it all” running back? A big plus here, he faces one of the worst defenses in the league in San Francisco.

Sit ‘em: Mark Ingram, James Starks

Tampa has a great run defense and I don’t see Ingram winning you a playoff game here. Rather, I see New Orleans throwing a ton in this one having to play from behind.

The Seahawks thwarted Jonathan Stewart a week ago and the same will go for Starks. Even though GB is expected to run a decent amount because of snow and bitter cold in the forecast, Christine Michael could steal a handful of carries against his old team.

Wide Receivers

Start ‘em: Julian Edelman, Tyler Lockett

Now that he is healthy, Seattle can put Lockett to good use against a Green Bay secondary that lacks the ability to stop the pass. He also has special teams upside that can put you over the top.

Sit ‘em: Brandon Cooks, Allen Robinson

Cooks has struggled to consistently to be involved in this offense and is no longer the #1 receiver.  He is better on the turf and has been posting boom or bust numbers this year.

Blake Bortles has turned into the king of garbage time points but aside from that, the passing game in Jacksonville has been virtually nonexistent. Despite the perfect weather conditions, Xavier Rhodes will be covering Robinson all afternoon which hasn’t bode well for other top receiving targets this season.

Tight Ends

Start ‘em: Ladarius Green, Jason Witten

Green was targeted 11 times last week and appears to be Big Ben’s new favorite redzone weapon. Seeing that same number of targets this week might be a stretch, but moving forward, he’s a must own a potential must start every week. Not to mention, with snow in the forecast, Big Ben might be looking for shorter routes to his sure-handed tight end.

Last week was the first game that Witten didn’t record a single catch. I believe they will make it up to him in a big rivalry game.

Sit ‘em: Dwayne Allen, Will Tye

Having gone off last week, Allen will be heavily owned in daily fantasy. Three TD’s in a game is hard to replicate, especially since he only saw four targets all day. Don’t fall for the trap!

Unless Tye falls into the endzone, his expectations are pretty low. Do you want to risk your playoff hopes on this play?


Picks de NFLW de la Semana 14

por Will Strome and Matt Aloisi | 12-10-2016 22:00

 

Daily Fantasy

Matt’s Value Players:
QB Kirk Cousins $6,300
RB Lamar Miller $5,100
WR Tyler Gabriel $4,300
TE Eric Ebron $3,800

Cousins’ yardage prediction this year is the best in his career and the Eagles are getting worse on offense. This gives Washington more time and possession on offense, resulting in more opportunities for Cousins to rack up some points. As for Miller, Indianapolis is poor at best against the run and if he gets between 18-22 touches, he has the chance to smash value. Gabriel could also see a ton of action now that Sanu is out and Jones is not 100 percent, according to USA Today’s Steve Gardner. Expect more looks for the speedy receiver against LA. Lastly, at home against the Bears in a game where Stafford could throw more than 40 times, Ebron will eat Chicago up if given the opportunity.

 

Will’s Value Players:
QB Eli Manning $5,500
RB Isaiah Crowell $3,900
WR Randall Cobb $5,000
TE Lance Kendricks $2,800

Manning tossed a trio of TD’s against the Cowboys already this season, and that was down in Dallas. Having found the endzone multiple times in five straight games, there’s a good chance he’ll make it six this week. Snow is expected to hit Cleveland on Sunday and with uncertainty at the QB position, the Crow could get a ton of touches against the Browns’ in-state rival. As a slot receiver, Cobb won’t see much of Richard Sherman this week and with Earl Thomas banged up, there’s a good chance he’ll be Rodgers’ top target in frigid Green Bay. Kendricks might not be a glamorous play, but he’ll be low-owned and dirt cheap meaning having the LA tight end in your lineup will allow you to stack the rest of your roster with expensive superstars.

 

 

Pick of the Week

Matt’s Pick: NYG +3 vs DAL

At home in a divisional game that New York already beat in Dallas? Ya, I like the G Men to keep up with Dallas and possibly win outright.

 

Will’s Pick: CAR -1.5 vs SD

San Diego is a total wildcard this season. One week they’re downing playoff bound teams and the next week they’re losing at home to a sub-.500 team. With Carolina needing to prove itself after last week’s embarrassment in Seattle, Cam and company will come out guns blazing this week.


Broncos y Titans por un lugar en la postemporada

por Will Strome, Columnist, NFLWeather.com | 12-10-2016 12:00

 

Varios partidos de la NFL este fin de semana probablemente verán algo de nieve, pero en un enfrentamiento entre dos aspirantes a la postemporada por la AFC ni Tennessee ni los Broncos pueden permitirse una derrota en lo que se espera sea un choque empapado por la lluvia.

Según NFLWeather.com , el pronóstico ha estado cambiando de un lado a otro durante toda la semana, pero las precipitaciones se espera que lleguen a Nashville en algún momento durante la tarde del domingo. El viento no debería ser factor rondando las ocho mph, y lo mismo va para la temperatura local que oscilará alrededor del 40s. Pero si la lluvia llega al Nissan Stadium temprano en el día, podríamos estar un vital y mojado encuentro.

Si la temporada terminara hoy, Denver (8-4) seria el sexto clasificado jugando en Baltimore, mientras que Tennessee (6-6) se perderia la postemporada debido a desempates dentro de la división. Con el fin de llegar a los playoffs, los Titans necesitan ganar y hacer que Indianápolis pierda al menos una vez. Si los Broncos ganan sus últimos cuatro partidos, se aseguran al menos un puesto como comodín pero una derrota el domingo lo aleja demasiado del liderazgo de su division y le da la chance a siete competidores de la AFC a disputar la sexta semilla (pendiente de los resultados del domingo).

Dicho esto, estamos en el territorio de ganar o ganar para ambos equipos y la madre naturaleza no parece querer simplificarle las cosas a ninguno de los dos.

Marcus Mariota Marcus Mariota. Photo courtesy of USA Today.

Denver es históricamente un equipo fuerte en encuentros impactados por el clima, pero la lluvia parece causarles problemas. Hace unas semanas, antes de un partidocon con temperaturas congelantes, vimos como las estadísticas de NFLWeather.com mostraron que los Broncos estaban 5-2 en sus últimos encuentros de clima frío, pero con lluvia en las últimas temporadas, el equipo está a sólo 2-3 y ha permitido 30 puntos o más en tres de esos cinco juegos. La Defensa de Denver ha sido muy fuerte esta temporada por lo que la verdadera preocupación podría estar en el otro lado de la pelota con un QB bajo centro todavía recuperándose de una lesión.

Sin embargo, Steve Gardner de USA Today hizo analisis prometedor para los fans de lso Bronco en su artículo esta semana sobre la salud del mariscal de campo Trevor Siemian, que perdió el partido de la semana pasada en Jacksonville. "Ha dejado su bota de caminar, que es una buena noticia para los receptores después de que Paxton Lynch lanzó por sólo 104 yardas la semana pasada", Gardner escribió. Incluso con lluvia presente, Emmanuel Sanders y Demeryius Thomas pueden tener una gran tardes contra una secundaria sin experiencia que recientemente cortó al esquinero veterano Perrish Cox y tiene que luchar para encontrar un joven capaz de destacarse y frenar a uno de los dúos de receptores más dinámicos de la NFL. Pero un golpeado Siemian también podría resultar en que Devontae Booker ver cerca de 30 acarreos después de haber llevado la pelota 24 veces en dos de sus últimos tres partidos.

A diferencia de la ofensiva del Broncos, los Titanes están sanos y parecen estar mejorando cada vez mas. Sin embargo, de acuerdo con la Analítica Histórica de NFLWeather.com, los Titans han sido victoriosos sólo una vez en sus últimos cinco juegos con lluvias y en promedio permiten cerca de 30 puntos por partido. Ciertamente no ha ayudado a que la ofensiva haya estado tan estancada como los charcos de lluvia que se acumularán en el campo el domingo, con un promedio de apenas 18 puntos por partido.

Pero esos eran viejos Titans, no los de que estan a tiro del titulo de su division hoy anclados por un ganador del Heisman que no ha dado tirado una intercepcion en los ultimos tres juegos. Jugador del mes de noviembre, Marcus Mariota, a lanzado múltiples TD's en ocho partidos consecutivos, pero ¿seguirá esa tendencia en un aguacero? Mariota jugó en una lluvia hace un año y terminó la tarde con tres TD pero dos INT y un 46% de porcentaje de en sus pases que simplemente no sera suficiente cuando estás compitiendo por un título de división. A diferencia del año pasado, Mariota tiene armas en su arsenal con el corredor DeMarco Murray en el campo de juego que no sólo sigue consiguiendo esas yardas difíciles sino que también ha sido una amenaza en el ataque aereo. El ala cerrada Delanie Walker sigue siendo el objetivo principal y lo será nuevamente en las malas condiciones del domingo.

No mucha gente pensaba que Tennessee estaría en la disputa por un lugar en los playoffs esta temporada, pero aquí estamos. Este es el juego más importante de la temporada para los Titans y también será el más húmedo. Si pueden evitar el que el clima afecte su juego y evitar que Von Miller llegue a Mariota, Tennessee podría ganar un poco de respeto esta semana, ya acercarse tambien de la cumbre de la AFC Sur.


Picks de NFLW de la Semana 13

por Will Strome and Matt Aloisi | 12-02-2016 18:00

 

 

Daily Fantasy

 

Matt’s Value Players:
QB Ryan Fitzpatrick $5,200
RB Jeremy Hill $4,300
WR Marvin Jones $4,400
TE Vance McDonald $2,900

$5,200 price tag of Fitz is so cheap for a guy going against one of the worst pass defenses in the league. As for Hill, at this price combined with the touches he should get now that Gio Bernard is out makes Hill a tremendous value play. In what will be a colossal shootout for Detroit at New Orleans, there is going to be plenty of looks to go around and Jones will see close to a dozen of them. McDonald has emerged as one of the go-to guys for San Francisco now and averaging just over six targets since week seven puts him in a good spot as a cheap daily play.

 

Will’s Value Players:
QB Joe Flacco $5,300
RB James Starks $4,400
WR Victor Cruz $3,300
TE Ladarius Green $2,800

or only $5,300 and going against a Miami D that was absolutely torched by Kaep, Flacco is a great play with likely a low percentage in ownership. Starks is the top dog in GB’s ground game but he hasn’t put up Lacy-like numbers just yet. Houston’s defense is good but not great and with flurries in the Sunday forecast, Starks has a chance to see 20+ touches and finally prove to coaches that the Packers no longer need to keep trading for RB’s. Like Shepard who’s a must-start, Cruz is a sneaky play in daily and against Pittsburgh’s weak secondary, he could easily go off with all eyes on OBJ. Green was the Steelers’ big off season acquisition and made his debut last week against Indianapolis. He should play more of a role this week now that he’s back to full health.

 

 

 

Pick of the Week

 

Matt’s Pick: OAK -3 vs BUF

Oakland’s offense will be too much for the Bills. McCoy and company will fade later in the second half allowing the Raiders to put this one away. Lock it up!

 

Will’s Pick: ARI -2.5 vs WAS

On the road, Washington isn’t very impressive defensively on the road and Palmer has averaged two touchdowns a game over the last four weeks. Arizona is finally getting it together, probably too little too late, but all of a sudden they’ve looked like the threatening team we expected to see week one.


Juegalos / Sientalos Semana 13

por Will Strome and Matt Aloisi | 12-02-2016 00:00

 

Quarterbacks

Start ‘em: Phillip Rivers, Colin Kaepernick

Tampa has been above average against the run this year and I see them forcing San Diego to thrown a ton in a potential shootout.  He has a high floor this Sunday, have no fear.

Kaep looked like his old self last week against a decent Miami defense that allowed him to rack up over 110 yards rushing on top of his 296 through the air. With rain in Chicago’s forecast, Kaep could end up with 10+ carries.

Sit ‘em: Ryan Tannehill, Trevor Siemian

Baltimore is going to force Tannehill to throw the ball rather than letting the Dolphins run on them. I do not see him winning you any match ups this week.

Jacksonville’s D has eight sacks in the last two weeks and Denver’s o-line is looking shaky. With drizzle expected on Sunday, Siemian might not be taking as many deep shots down field as he normally does.

Running Backs

Start ‘em: Matt Forte, Jordan Howard

Simply put, Indianapolis just flat out stinks on defense this season. I can see Forte getting into the endzone this week and adding a few catches as well.

Even though SF held Miami to under 100 yards rushing last week, the Niners D has seen three teams rack up over 240 yards on the ground already this season. With Barkley under center in Chicago, Howard might end up seeing 30+ touches in the rain.

Sit ‘em: Frank Gore, Jonathan Stewart

The Jets have a stout front seven that should eat the Colts’ line alive. I do not anticipate Gore going off in this spot.

Stewart is a tough guy to sit because he dominates all the carries in Carolina but the Panthers will struggle mightily against Seattle’s stout rushing defense in the rain. If J-Stew couldn’t produce against LA’s tough front seven, expect similar disappointing results against the Seahawks.

Sterling Shepard Sterling Shepard. Photo courtesy of USA Today.

Wide Receivers

Start ‘em: Emmanuel Sanders, Sterling Shepard

Sanders has seen double digit targets in three of the last four weeks. Look for plenty of the same here against Jacksonville.

It’s no secret that Pittsburgh’s secondary is mediocre at best and regularly get lit up against strong passing teams like the Giants. Despite the crummy conditions, Shepard will see a ton of targets with safeties keeping tabs on Odell Beckham Jr. all afternoon.

Sit ‘em: Jarvis Landry, Kelvin Benjamin

With one touchdown all season and seeing less targets than last year means Landry’s upside is limited.  Find someone else because there’s a good chance you will be disappointed by this play.

Like J-Stew, another tough playmaker to sit from Carolina’s offense but as USA Today’s Steve Gardner mentioned last week that the power of Richard Sherman is one to be feared as he allows a league-low 59.1 passer rating heading into week 12. There are better options in better weather games than Benjamin this week.

Tight Ends

Start ‘em: Cameron Brate, CJ Fiedorowicz

Behind Mike Evans, Brate is the top receiving threat in Tampa’s passing attack. With clear skies in San Diego’s forecast, Winston will be airing it out early and often against the Charger’s swiss cheese D.

Houston will be down in this game and will have to pass a ton.  Since Week five, CJ has not seen less than six targets. I like him a lot here..

Sit ‘em: Julius Thomas, Jack Doyle

Thomas is banged up and only saw five targets last week at Detroit who’s terrible against defending TE’s. Even if he suits up, he won’t be much of a factor against a solid Denver D.

With Allen back and the Jets pretty fair against the tight end, I see this play as a recipe for disaster. Anyone but Doyle will do.


Giants vs Steelers - Semana 13

por Will Strome, Columnist, NFLWeather.com | 12-01-2016 18:00

 

Diez selecciones del draft de 2004 los separan y entre los dos tienen cuatro anillos de Super Bowl.

Para algunos, lso dos ya tienen asegurada la entrada al Salón de la Fama al final de sus carreras. Pero el domingo, cuando las condiciones climáticas no serán nada favorables en la húmeda y triste Ciudad del Acero, Ben Roethlisberger y Eli Manning se enfrentarán en lo que será una pelea clásica de pesos pesados en la lluvia entre dos de las franquicias más estratificadas de la liga.

De acuerdo con NFLWeather.com, se espera llovizna y las temperaturas estarán cerca de los 30's en la patada inicial, pero el final del encuentro es probable que terminen por debajo de la congelación (al igual que vimos cuando Pittsburgh recibió a Dallas hace dos semanas). A partir del miércoles, el viento no parecía ser factor, pero la zona abierta de Heinz Field es conocida por crear un túnel de viento y causar problemas importantes para los pateadores. Pero la verdadera cuestión podría ser la lluvia helada que se puede dar al desplomarse la temperatura. Si eso pasa la nieve podría hacer una aparición de segunda mitad del encuentro.

Manning Roethlisberger Manning - Roethlisberger. Photo courtesy of USA Today.

Los New York Giants (8-3) han jugado en un montón de juegos impactados por el clima en las últimas temporadas, pero la diferencia entre sus actuaciones en casa y de visitante es como la noche y el día. Desde 2009 en juegos con lluvia, los Giants estan 5-4, pero tan sólo 1-3 fuera de casa. De acuerdo con el Análisis histórico de NFLWeather.com , ofensivamente el equipo promedia casi 29 puntos por partido en casa en comparación con sólo 17 de visitante.

Se podría especular que esta diferencia de 12 puntos podría ser porque el equipo quiere correr la pelota más en un esfuerzo por ganar la batalla por el tiempo de posesión al mismo tiempo que disminuye la posibilidad de lanzar una intercepción. Sin embargo, las estadísticas muestran que en promedio Manning pasa la pelota tan sólo 29 veces por partido en casa frente a 43 de visitante. ¿Podría ser esto por tener que jugar desde atras al ser visitante y por eso tener que abandonar el juego por tierra antes de lo esperado? No es probable, porque Nueva York es un equipo que normalmente es dificil de detener en su juego por tierra en condiciones difíciles. Desde 2013 en partidos con mal tiempo, Big Blue esta 3-0 al correr la pelota 35 veces o más.

En las últimas temporadas, Pittsburgh (6-5) también ha tenido mucho éxito en la lluvia. Desde 2013, cuando Le'Veon Bell entró a la liga, los Steelers tienen marca de 5-1 en la lluvia , con un promedio de aproximadamente 115 yardas por tierra por partido. De esos seis partidos, Bell sólo jugó en tres y ha logrado 270 yardas en 50 acarreos. Será un factor importante tanto en el ataque por tierra como en el ataque aereo, pero no cuenten con que su veterano suplente (DeAngelo Williams) este de regreso y sano todavia. Steve Gardner de USA Today mencionó en una pieza reciente que es una respaldo obligado en ligas de footbal de fantasía y dado el historial de lesiones de Bell hacia finales de la temporada, Williams podría terminar siendo el titular en el ultimo tramo del año. WIlliams también ha sido un clave en juegos de lluvia, acumulando 127 yardas en 21 carreras contra Nueva Inglaterra la temporada pasada.

Pero el hombre principal en el ataque de Pittsburgh en condiciones climaticas de lluvia todavía es Big Ben. Desde 2009, los Steelers están 10-4 en la lluvia y no han perdido en Heinz Field bajo una llovizna desde 2010. Sin mencionar, en los 14 juegos la ofensiva ha promediado un poco menos de 24 puntos por partido, pero en casa el promedio salta a 30 ppj. Contra la temblorosa D de Nueva York, Roethlisberger va a repartir la pelota, aunque es es seguro igualmente asumir que Antonio Brown fácilmente ver más de 10 pases lanzados hacia el. Mantengan un ojo en Ladarius Green, la gran adquisición de Pittsburgh esta pretemporada que hizo su debut en el dia de Acción de Gracias.

Ninguno de los dos equipos esta en la cima de sus respectivas divisiones pero esto todavía se siente como un preview del Super Bowl. Pittsburgh y Nueva York son las dos únicas franquicias en la historia de la NFL en ganar el Super Bowl como el sexto clasificado. Son dos equipos que son imposibles de ignorar y aterradores para enfrentarse en la postemporada. Esperemos que estos dos se vean nuevamente en Houston en un par de meses, bajo condiciones climáticas un poco más ideales.



 
 
 
 
 
 

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